Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Marin Cilic

Rank: #94
28%
VS

Casper Ruud

Rank: #12
72%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Casper Ruud

Ranking Trends

Marin Cilic

  • Current Rank: #94 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #65 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #111 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #181 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #200 (2024-10-14)

Casper Ruud

  • Current Rank: #12 (2025-09-29)
  • 3 Months Ago: #13 (2025-07-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #10 (2025-04-14)
  • 9 Months Ago: #6 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #8 (2024-10-14)

Player Metrics

Marin Cilic

Form Index: 46.7
ELO Rating: 792.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1531.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 93.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.6
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 5.3
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 86.5

Casper Ruud

Form Index: 44.9
ELO Rating: 3013.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1779.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.1
Clay: 30.6
Grass: 35.0
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Marin Cilic
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (2-0) hard Stockholm 93 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (0-2) hard Shanghai 114 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (2-0) hard Shanghai 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Beijing 81 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (1-2) hard Hangzhou 153 min

Casper Ruud
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Zizou Bergs (1-2) hard Shanghai 128 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-2) hard Tokio 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Tokio 58 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) hard Tokio 98 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Shintaro Mochizuki (2-1) hard Tokio 99 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Marin Cilic
vs
0
Casper Ruud
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Stockholm tournament, Marin Cilic is set to face Casper Ruud on hard courts. With a considerable ranking difference and recent form, Casper Ruud is predicted to emerge victorious, holding a 71.58% probability of winning compared to Cilic's 28.42%. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Marin Cilic, currently ranked 94, has a form index of 46.66 and an Elo rating of 792.27. His fatigue level is notably high at 93.0 minutes, which may impact his performance. Cilic's surface strength index stands at 7.62, indicating a moderate capability on hard courts. His mean serve index of 96.47, compared to Ruud's 95.52, showcases a slight advantage in serving, while his mean return index of 86.46 is marginally higher than Ruud's 85.77, suggesting he could potentially capitalize on Ruud's service games. Conversely, Casper Ruud is ranked 12th and boasts a form index of 44.89 with a significantly higher Elo rating of 3013.40. Importantly, Ruud’s fatigue level is zero, indicating he has not spent any time on court in the current tournament, which could give him an edge in stamina and freshness. Ruud's surface strength index of 18.12 highlights his proficiency on hard courts. Both players struggled in their recent matches, with Cilic winning two out of three, including a straight-sets victory in his last match against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. Ruud, however, lost his last two matches, showcasing a dip in form that may affect his confidence.

Final Prediction

Casper Ruud's higher ranking, lack of fatigue, and overall stronger performance metrics provide him with a distinct advantage going into this match. A key factor to watch will be how Cilic's serve holds up against Ruud's returning capabilities, particularly given their close indices.