Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Berrettini arrives ranked 107 with an Elo of 1775.36 and a form index of 74.19. His mean serve index (96.64) and mean return index (88.67) remain among the stronger metrics on clay, but his surface strength index (30.67) suggests only modest clay-specific upside. Arnaldi, ranked 96, posts a slightly higher form index (76.18) though a marginally lower Elo (1757.97). His surface strength (31.81) and balanced serve/return indices (serve 95.00, return 86.82) keep the matchup tight; neither player has a serve or return rating advantage greater than five points. Both players have accumulated heavy minutes at Roland Garros (696 minutes each), a factor that can influence late-match physicality. Recent results show consistency: Berrettini has won his three matches here (including a straight-sets win over Cerundolo and a five-setter against Comesana), while Arnaldi is also unbeaten in three, edging Tiafoe and Collignon in five-set battles and defeating Tsitsipas in four. Those scorelines underline that both have been battle-tested and capable of closing tight affairs.