Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Matteo Gigante vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction

Matteo Gigante

Rank: #164
21%
VS

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Rank: #19
79%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Stefanos Tsitsipas

Player Metrics

Matteo Gigante

Form Index: 86.0
ELO Rating: 638.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.5
Clay: 4.7
Grass: 3.3
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 87.7

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Form Index: 60.9
ELO Rating: 2534.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1885.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.7
Clay: 24.6
Grass: 25.3
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 84.8

Recent Matches

Matteo Gigante

  • Last Match: vs Benjamin Hassan (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Elmer Moller (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Zachary Svajda (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jerome Kym (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (0-2) clay Rome 102 min

Stefanos Tsitsipas

  • Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Arthur Fils (1-2) clay Rome 113 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) clay Rome 91 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Madrid 114 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (2-1) clay Madrid 118 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Matteo Gigante
vs
0
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at Roland Garros 2025, Matteo Gigante faces off against Stefanos Tsitsipas on the clay surface of France. Tsitsipas is heavily favored to win, with a probability of 78.71%, while Gigante's chances stand at 21.29%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is set to be around 37.

Match Analysis

Matteo Gigante currently holds a rank of 164, which starkly contrasts with Stefanos Tsitsipas's rank of 19. Gigante's form index is notably higher at 85.99 compared to Tsitsipas's 60.93. However, Tsitsipas boasts a significantly higher Elo rating of 2534.71 against Gigante's 638.31, indicating a substantial gap in overall performance levels. Fatigue levels also differ markedly; Gigante has 696 minutes on court, while Tsitsipas has only 174 minutes, suggesting that Gigante may be more fatigued going into this match. On clay, Tsitsipas's surface strength index of 24.55 far surpasses Gigante's 4.73, indicating that he is better adapted to the conditions. Furthermore, Tsitsipas’s mean serve index of 96.07 is 1.25 points higher than Gigante’s 94.82, while Gigante's mean return index of 87.69 exceeds Tsitsipas's 84.78 by 2.91 points, although not significantly enough to impact the overall match dynamics. In their recent performances, both players have shown strong results. Gigante has won his last three matches at Roland Garros convincingly, dropping no sets. Tsitsipas, on the other hand, has also won his last match without dropping a set but faced a setback in his previous match at Rome. This inconsistency could be a slight concern for Tsitsipas, but his overall form and ranking indicate he is the stronger contender.

Final Prediction

Stefanos Tsitsipas's higher rank, superior Elo rating, and lower fatigue level provide him with a clear edge heading into this match. A key factor to observe will be how Gigante's fatigue from extended play in previous rounds affects his performance against a seasoned opponent like Tsitsipas.