Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 128

Mattia Bellucci vs Damir Dzumhur Prediction

Mattia Bellucci

Rank: #72
59%
VS

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #54
41%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Mattia Bellucci

Player Metrics

Mattia Bellucci

Form Index: 47.5
ELO Rating: 795.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1539.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.1
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 6.8
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 86.3

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 37.3
ELO Rating: 835.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1559.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.5
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 89.6

Recent Matches

Mattia Bellucci

  • Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (1-2) hard Toronto 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Oliver Crawford (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Billy Harris (0-2) grass Eastbourne 89 min

Damir Dzumhur

  • Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) hard Toronto 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Taberner (0-2) clay Umag 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Titouan Droguet (2-1) clay Umag 139 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (2-0) clay Umag 119 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (2-0) clay Bastad 106 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mattia Bellucci
vs
1
Damir Dzumhur
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Mattia Bellucci and Damir Dzumhur takes place in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 on hard courts. Bellucci is favored to win with a probability of 59.19%, while Dzumhur's chances sit at 40.81%. The predicted total number of games in the match is estimated to be 22.0.

Match Analysis

Mattia Bellucci holds a rank of 72 with a form index of 47.54, suggesting he has been performing moderately well recently. His Elo rating of 795.85 and a surface strength index of 7.15 indicate he has adapted well to playing on hard courts. In comparison, Damir Dzumhur is ranked 54, with a lower form index of 37.33 and an Elo rating of 835.32. Dzumhur's surface strength index of 4.50 shows he struggles more on hard courts than Bellucci. Notably, Bellucci has a mean serve index of 97.46, which is significantly higher than Dzumhur's 94.52, showcasing an advantage in serve effectiveness. Furthermore, Bellucci's mean return index of 86.27 is slightly lower than Dzumhur's 89.63, but the difference is minimal. Analyzing their recent performances, Bellucci experienced a mixed bag, losing his last two matches, including a tough battle against Hugo Gaston in Toronto where he won one set but ultimately fell short. However, he did achieve a solid victory against Jiri Lehecka in Wimbledon prior to that. Dzumhur, on the other hand, has also faced difficulties, losing his last two matches on hard and clay surfaces, indicating a decline in momentum. His only recent win was against Titouan Droguet, which suggests he hasn't been in top form lately.

Final Prediction

Mattia Bellucci has the edge due to a stronger performance index, particularly in serving, which could play a crucial role on hard courts. The key factor to watch during the match will be Bellucci's ability to leverage his superior serve against Dzumhur's return game, which could dictate the flow of play and match outcomes.