Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 128

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Rank: #126
13%
VS

Lorenzo Musetti

Rank: #7
87%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Musetti

Player Metrics

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Form Index: 69.8
ELO Rating: 517.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1539.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.5
Clay: 3.1
Grass: 3.0
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 87.0

Lorenzo Musetti

Form Index: 89.9
ELO Rating: 2824.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1738.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.1
Clay: 24.0
Grass: 23.3
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 88.3

Recent Matches

Nikoloz Basilashvili

  • Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Coleman Wong (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (0-2) grass Halle 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs James Duckworth (1-2) grass Stuttgart 129 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Hugo Grenier (2-1) grass Stuttgart 124 min

Lorenzo Musetti

  • Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Daniel Elahi Galan (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nikoloz Basilashvili
vs
0
Lorenzo Musetti
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, set on the grass courts of Great Britain, Nikoloz Basilashvili faces Lorenzo Musetti. The prediction heavily favors Musetti, with an 87.05% probability of victory compared to Basilashvili's 12.95%. The match is expected to feature approximately 35 games.

Match Analysis

Nikoloz Basilashvili is currently ranked 126, exhibiting a form index of 69.76 and an Elo rating of 516.97. His cumulative fatigue stands at 348 minutes, reflecting the strain of previous matches. On grass, his surface strength index is a modest 2.99, while his mean serve index is 95.23 and mean return index is 87.00. In contrast, Lorenzo Musetti, ranked 7th, boasts a much higher form index of 89.92 and an impressive Elo rating of 2824.41. He has yet to experience any fatigue in this tournament, indicating optimal readiness. Musetti's surface strength index on grass is significantly higher at 23.28, with a mean serve index of 95.49 and a mean return index of 88.31, giving him a slight edge in both serving and returning capabilities. In their recent performances, Basilashvili won two of his last three matches but has shown vulnerability, particularly in his match against Laslo Djere, where he failed to secure a win. Musetti, on the other hand, has been more consistent, winning against Frances Tiafoe and Holger Rune before facing a tough opponent in Carlos Alcaraz, where he ultimately lost. This recent loss may serve as motivation for Musetti to bounce back strongly, especially on grass where he has demonstrated better adaptability.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti emerges as the favored player due to his superior ranking, form, and overall performance metrics. His readiness on grass coupled with Basilashvili's cumulative fatigue presents a significant advantage. A key factor to watch will be Musetti's service game, particularly given the close scores in their serving indices, which may dictate the flow of the match.