Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Nishesh Basavareddy vs Marin Cilic Prediction

Nishesh Basavareddy

Rank: #109
47%
VS

Marin Cilic

Rank: #59
53%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Marin Cilic

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Ranking Trends

Nishesh Basavareddy

  • Current #109 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #102 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #100 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #138 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #253 2024-09-16

Marin Cilic

  • Current #59 2025-09-15
  • 3 mo ago #101 2025-06-16
  • 6 mo ago #143 2025-03-17
  • 9 mo ago #180 2024-12-16
  • 12 mo ago #777 2024-09-16

Player Metrics

Nishesh Basavareddy

Form Index: 42.4
ELO Rating: 660.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1549.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 88.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.8
Clay: 3.3
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 86.2

Marin Cilic

Form Index: 77.5
ELO Rating: 804.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1524.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 5.5
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Nishesh Basavareddy
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Beibit Zhukayev (2-0) hard Hangzhou 88 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (2-0) hard Winston Salem 98 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Schoolkate (2-0) hard Winston Salem 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alex Rybakov (2-0) hard Winston Salem 54 min

Marin Cilic
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jaume Munar (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jack Draper (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nishesh Basavareddy
vs
0
Marin Cilic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Nishesh Basavareddy and Marin Cilic in the Round of 32 at the Hangzhou tournament, held on hard courts, promises to be a competitive encounter. Marin Cilic is predicted to win with a probability of 53.36%, while Nishesh Basavareddy stands at 46.64%. The expected total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Nishesh Basavareddy, currently ranked 109, has a form index of 42.37 and an Elo rating of 660.15. Despite being lower ranked, he has shown promise on hard courts, highlighted by a surface strength index of 6.83. However, he carries a considerable fatigue level of 88.0 minutes from the current tournament, which may impact his performance. His mean serve index of 95.56 is marginally higher than Cilic's 94.88, but the difference in their mean return indices, with Cilic at 86.97 compared to Basavareddy's 86.22, is negligible. Marin Cilic, ranked 59, boasts a higher form index of 77.53 and an Elo rating of 804.36, reflecting his experience and consistency. He enters this match with no recorded fatigue from this tournament thus far, which could provide him with an advantage in stamina. Cilic's recent performances have been mixed, having won one out of his last three matches, but he did secure a strong win against Jaume Munar in their prior match. In contrast, Basavareddy has also shown resilience, winning two of his last three matches, including a solid victory against Beibit Zhukayev.

Final Prediction

The edge in this match appears to lie with Marin Cilic, given his higher rank, experience, and better overall form. A crucial factor to monitor will be the impact of Basavareddy's fatigue on his performance, as the match progresses, potentially influencing his ability to challenge Cilic effectively.

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