Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Quarterfinals

Alexander Zverev vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
56%
VS

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #6
44%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Player Metrics

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 87.0
ELO Rating: 6620.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1880.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.0
Clay: 55.0
Grass: 63.1
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 88.2

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 90.2
ELO Rating: 3382.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2567.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 30.1
Grass: 33.5
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Alexander Zverev

  • Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Learner Tien (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) clay Hamburg 160 min

Novak Djokovic

  • Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Hubert Hurkacz (2-1) clay Geneva 185 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Alexander Zverev
vs
0
Novak Djokovic
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic at the 2025 Roland Garros is set to be a thrilling encounter on the clay surface. With a slight edge, Alexander Zverev is predicted to emerge victorious with a probability of 56.35%, compared to Djokovic's 43.65%. The match is expected to feature around 37 games in total.

Match Analysis

Alexander Zverev currently holds the 3rd rank and has a form index of 86.99, indicating strong performance as he advances through the tournament. His Elo rating stands at 6619.96, showcasing his competitiveness at this level. Zverev's fatigue level is at 696 minutes, which is consistent with that of Djokovic, indicating both players have dealt with similar physical demands. However, Zverev boasts a surface strength index of 55.05, significantly higher than Djokovic's 30.10, which could play a crucial role on the clay surface. Additionally, Zverev's mean serve index of 98.17 surpasses Djokovic's 95.83 by over 2 points, providing him with a notable advantage in serving. On the other hand, Novak Djokovic, ranked 6th, comes into the match with a slightly higher form index of 90.18 and an Elo rating of 3382.29. His recent performances have been flawless, winning all three of his last matches without dropping a set. This includes convincing victories over Cameron Norrie, Filip Misolic, and Corentin Moutet. Although Djokovic has displayed an impressive return index of 87.96, it is only marginally better than Zverev's 88.20, indicating both players are proficient in returning serves.

Final Prediction

Zverev's edge in surface strength and serving capability presents a significant advantage as they face off on clay. A key factor to observe will be how Zverev utilizes his serve against Djokovic's return game, as this could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.