Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Corentin Moutet vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #83
26%
VS

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #6
74%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Novak Djokovic

Player Metrics

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 63.0
ELO Rating: 1069.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 6.4
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 89.0

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 69.8
ELO Rating: 3381.9
Glicko2 Rating: 2567.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 30.1
Grass: 33.5
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Corentin Moutet

  • Last Match: vs Clement Tabur (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jack Draper (1-2) clay Rome 140 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (2-1) clay Rome 224 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) clay Rome 69 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (2-1) clay Rome 153 min

Novak Djokovic

  • Last Match: vs Mackenzie McDonald (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-1) clay Geneva 134 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) clay Geneva 99 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Marton Fucsovics (2-0) clay Geneva 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (0-2) clay Madrid 101 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Corentin Moutet
vs
1
Novak Djokovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Corentin Moutet and Novak Djokovic at the Roland Garros tournament represents a compelling encounter in the Round of 64 on clay. Given Djokovic's established dominance and superior ranking, he is predicted to win with a probability of 74.26%, while Moutet holds a 25.74% chance of victory. The expected total number of games played in this match is approximately 36.

Match Analysis

Corentin Moutet, ranked 83, boasts a form index of 62.97 and an Elo rating of 1069.45. His cumulative fatigue stands at 174 minutes, which indicates he has been on court for a considerable amount of time recently. Moutet’s surface strength index of 9.29 highlights his struggles on clay, while his mean serve index of 96.55 and mean return index of 89.03 show he has decent serving capabilities but is less effective in returning compared to Djokovic. On the other hand, Novak Djokovic is currently ranked 6, with a form index of 69.80 and an impressive Elo rating of 3381.94. Like Moutet, he has accumulated 174 minutes of fatigue, but his surface strength index of 30.10 indicates a much stronger performance on clay. Djokovic's mean serve index of 96.23 and mean return index of 88.20 suggest he is slightly less effective in serving but maintains a competitive edge. In their recent performances, Moutet has had mixed results, securing a convincing win against Clement Tabur but suffering a loss to Jack Draper in the Rome tournament, as well as a win against Holger Rune prior. Djokovic, however, has been in excellent form, winning all three of his recent matches, including a comprehensive victory over Mackenzie McDonald at Roland Garros. His performance against Cameron Norrie and Matteo Arnaldi in Geneva also reflects his readiness for this tournament.

Final Prediction

Novak Djokovic's blend of experience, higher ranking, and recent form gives him a significant advantage over Corentin Moutet in this matchup. One key factor to watch will be Djokovic's return game, where his ability to neutralize Moutet's serve could decisively influence the outcome of the match.