Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Mackenzie McDonald vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Mackenzie McDonald

Rank: #96
14%
VS

Novak Djokovic

Rank: #6
86%
Predicted Games Played: 35.0
Predicted Winner: Novak Djokovic

Ranking Trends

Mackenzie McDonald

  • Current Rank: #96 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #115 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #131 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #140 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #74 (2024-05-27)

Novak Djokovic

  • Current Rank: #6 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #7 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #7 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #2 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #1 (2024-05-27)

Player Metrics

Mackenzie McDonald

Form Index: 19.3
ELO Rating: 429.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1593.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.6
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 86.1

Novak Djokovic

Form Index: 57.8
ELO Rating: 3381.9
Glicko2 Rating: 2567.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.3
Clay: 30.1
Grass: 33.5
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 88.4

Recent Matches

Mackenzie McDonald
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Jerome Kym (2-0) clay Madrid 61 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Diego Dedura (0-2) clay Munich 65 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) clay Houston 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Elahi Galan (2-1) clay Houston 135 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nick Kyrgios (1-2) hard Miami 103 min

Novak Djokovic
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Cameron Norrie (2-1) clay Geneva 134 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-0) clay Geneva 99 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marton Fucsovics (2-0) clay Geneva 77 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Arnaldi (0-2) clay Madrid 101 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Tabilo (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 87 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mackenzie McDonald
vs
0
Novak Djokovic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Roland Garros 2025, Mackenzie McDonald faces off against the formidable Novak Djokovic on clay, a surface where Djokovic has historically excelled. The prediction favors Djokovic, with an 85.98% probability of winning compared to McDonald's 14.02%. The anticipated total number of games in this matchup is estimated to be 35.

Match Analysis

Mackenzie McDonald currently ranks 96th and has a form index of 19.34, indicating a significant struggle in recent performances. His Elo rating stands at 429.12, which is considerably lower than Djokovic's 3381.94. McDonald has a surface strength index of 3.18, reflecting his limited success on clay, while Djokovic boasts a much higher index of 30.10, demonstrating his dominance on this surface. The difference in their mean serve index is notable; Djokovic's 96.35 surpasses McDonald's 95.91, but the gap is not wide enough to be a decisive factor. However, Djokovic's mean return index of 88.38 significantly outstrips McDonald's 86.12, suggesting he will likely capitalize on McDonald's service games effectively. In their recent performances, McDonald has struggled, winning only one of his last three matches, all on clay, with a recent victory against Jerome Kym in Madrid. Conversely, Djokovic has shown strong form, winning all three of his latest matches in Geneva, including a competitive match against Cameron Norrie. Djokovic's match durations indicate he has been tested but has managed to find success consistently, further bolstering his confidence heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Djokovic's considerable edge in both experience and recent form is crucial in this encounter, as he has demonstrated resilience and dominance on clay. A key factor to monitor will be Djokovic's return game, as his ability to pressure McDonald's serve could dictate the match's flow and outcome.