Tokio Japan Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Nuno Borges vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Nuno Borges

Rank: #51
28%
VS

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #5
72%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Player Metrics

Nuno Borges

Form Index: 30.5
ELO Rating: 1219.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1597.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 120.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.7
Clay: 11.2
Grass: 10.3
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 87.4

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 82.8
ELO Rating: 3959.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1821.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 129.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.2
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.8
Serve Rating: 96.8
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Nuno Borges

  • Last Match: vs Yosuke Watanuki (2-1) hard Tokio 120 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (0-2) hard Winston Salem 67 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) hard Cincinnati 84 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Toronto 102 min

Taylor Fritz

  • Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-1) hard Tokio 129 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jerome Kym (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lloyd Harris (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nuno Borges
vs
1
Taylor Fritz
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In this round of 16 match at the ATP 500 tournament in Tokyo, Nuno Borges is set to face Taylor Fritz on hard courts. The predicted winner is Taylor Fritz, with a probability of winning at 72.48%, while Nuno Borges has a 27.52% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played is approximately 24.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz currently holds a ranking of 5, significantly higher than Nuno Borges, who is ranked 51. Fritz boasts a form index of 82.78, indicating strong recent performances, while Borges has a lower form index of 30.52. In terms of Elo ratings, Fritz’s 3959.37 far exceeds Borges’s 1219.48, further emphasizing the disparity in their current competitive levels. Both players exhibit notable fatigue, with Borges at 120 minutes and Fritz slightly higher at 129 minutes. On hard surfaces, Fritz's surface strength index of 31.16 is substantially stronger than Borges's 10.74, showcasing his adaptability on this type of court. When analyzing their serving capabilities, Fritz has a mean serve index of 96.82, compared to Borges's 96.54, indicating a marginal advantage for Fritz. However, the mean return index reveals a more compelling difference, with Fritz at 85.66 and Borges at 87.38, suggesting Borges has the upper hand in return games. In their recent performances, Fritz has won all his last three matches, including a solid victory against Gabriel Diallo in Tokyo. Conversely, Borges has struggled, winning only one of his last three matches, most recently beating Yosuke Watanuki but losing prior matches at the US Open.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz enters this match with a clear edge due to his superior ranking, form, and recent performance consistency. The key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Borges's return game, as he will need to capitalize on any weaknesses in Fritz's serve to have a fighting chance.