Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Prediction

Pablo Carreno Busta

Rank: #93
39%
VS

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Rank: #360
61%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Player Metrics

Pablo Carreno Busta

Form Index: 35.6
ELO Rating: 511.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1504.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 3.9
Grass: 2.7
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 85.4

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Form Index: 78.4
ELO Rating: 450.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1563.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.6
Clay: 4.2
Grass: 1.8
Serve Rating: 94.1
Return Rating: 86.6

Recent Matches

Pablo Carreno Busta

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (0-2) hard Winston Salem 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (1-0) hard Winston Salem 58 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Leandro Riedi (0-2) hard Cincinnati 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Fils (0-2) hard Toronto 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Liam Draxl (2-1) hard Toronto 141 min

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

  • Last Match: vs Marco Trungelliti (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Andres Martin (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (0-2) clay Umag 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (2-0) clay Umag 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-0) clay Umag 82 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Pablo Carreno Busta
vs
0
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Pablo Llamas Ruiz takes place in the Round of 128 at the US Open, held on hard courts in New York, U.S.A. The predicted winner is Pablo Llamas Ruiz, with a win probability of 61.06%, while Carreno Busta has a probability of 38.94%. The anticipated total number of games played is 36.

Match Analysis

Pablo Carreno Busta, currently ranked 93, has a form index of 35.63 and an Elo rating of 511.15. His surface strength index is relatively strong at 5.42, indicating competence on hard courts, though he has shown signs of struggle recently. Carreno Busta has a mean serve index of 95.79 and a mean return index of 85.38, suggesting a balanced ability to serve and return. However, the gap between his serve index and Llamas Ruiz’s (94.06) is less than 5 points, indicating their serving capabilities are quite comparable. On the other hand, Pablo Llamas Ruiz, ranked 360, boasts a higher form index of 78.41, indicating better recent performance, and an Elo rating of 450.08. Despite his lower surface strength index of 2.60, he has demonstrated resilience in the current tournament, winning his last two matches at the US Open. His mean return index of 86.60 is notably higher than Carreno Busta's, by more than 5 points, giving him an advantage in returning serves. In recent matches, Llamas Ruiz has secured victories against Marco Trungelliti and Andres Martin, showcasing his ability to compete effectively on hard courts.

Final Prediction

Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form and superior return capabilities provide him with a significant edge in this matchup. His ability to capitalize on Carreno Busta's weaknesses, particularly in terms of returning serves, will be a key factor to observe as the match unfolds.