Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Mattia Bellucci vs Pedro Martinez Prediction

Mattia Bellucci

Rank: #68
56%
VS

Pedro Martinez

Rank: #49
44%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Mattia Bellucci

Ranking Trends

Mattia Bellucci

  • Current Rank: #68 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #92 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #105 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #114 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #176 (2024-05-06)

Pedro Martinez

  • Current Rank: #49 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #44 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #42 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #45 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #51 (2024-05-06)

Player Metrics

Mattia Bellucci

Form Index: 23.0
ELO Rating: 711.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1541.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.3
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 97.7
Return Rating: 85.9

Pedro Martinez

Form Index: 31.0
ELO Rating: 1107.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1555.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 9.9
Grass: 10.4
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Mattia Bellucci
❌ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Damir Dzumhur (1-2) clay Madrid 154 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Borna Coric (0-2) clay Barcelona 95 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Cameron Norrie (2-1) clay Monte Carlo 118 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (0-2) clay Marrakech 84 min

Pedro Martinez
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) clay Madrid 108 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Fils (0-2) clay Barcelona 68 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) clay Barcelona 198 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Nuno Borges (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 188 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) clay Monte Carlo 133 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Mattia Bellucci
vs
0
Pedro Martinez
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Mattia Bellucci and Pedro Martinez at the Rome Masters 1000 presents an exciting clash on clay. With the tournament set to unfold in the heart of Italy, Bellucci is predicted to edge out Martinez with a 55.63% probability of winning, compared to Martinez's 44.37%. The anticipated total number of games played is projected at 23.

Match Analysis

Mattia Bellucci, currently ranked 68, has a form index of 23.01 and an Elo rating of 711.42. His fatigue level stands at 0.0, indicating he is fresh for this match. Bellucci's surface strength index of 5.73 suggests he is relatively comfortable on clay. His mean serve index of 97.69 exceeds Martinez’s serve index by over 5 points, giving him a potential advantage in service games. In contrast, his mean return index of 85.93 is slightly lower than Martinez’s return index of 88.46, yet the difference is within a competitive range. Pedro Martinez, ranked 49, boasts a higher form index of 30.99 and an Elo rating of 1107.16, reflecting a stronger overall performance. Like Bellucci, he also has a fatigue level of 0.0. His surface strength index of 9.86 indicates proficiency on clay, and while his serve index is lower, his return capabilities are slightly better. Analyzing their recent performances, Bellucci has struggled, losing all three of his last matches, including a recent match against Damir Dzumhur. Martinez has also faced difficulty, having lost his last two matches, but secured a victory against Brandon Nakashima three matches ago.

Final Prediction

Mattia Bellucci's slight edge in serving ability and his lower fatigue level may provide him with the advantage needed to secure victory over Pedro Martinez. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Bellucci can leverage his serve against Martinez’s return, which could significantly influence the match's outcome.