Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Reilly Opelka vs Francisco Comesana Prediction

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #73
56%
VS

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #71
44%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Reilly Opelka

Player Metrics

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 55.6
ELO Rating: 1062.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1686.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 199.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 98.6
Return Rating: 82.7

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 46.0
ELO Rating: 848.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1571.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 105.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.7
Clay: 7.0
Grass: 6.0
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Reilly Opelka

  • Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) hard Cincinnati 99 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hugo Dellien (2-0) hard Cincinnati 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Toronto 85 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (2-1) hard Toronto 140 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (2-0) hard Toronto 115 min

Francisco Comesana

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) hard Cincinnati 105 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Toronto 90 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) hard Toronto 86 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 106 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tristan Boyer (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 98 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Reilly Opelka
vs
0
Francisco Comesana
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Reilly Opelka and Francisco Comesana at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament marks a critical round of 32 encounter on hard courts in Ohio. With Opelka ranked 73rd and Comesana ranked 71st, predictions favor Opelka, with a 55.58% probability of victory compared to Comesana's 44.42%. The anticipated total number of games played is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Reilly Opelka enters this match with a form index of 55.55, significantly higher than Comesana's 46.04, indicating better overall performance in recent matches. Opelka's Elo rating of 1062.84 also suggests he has faced tougher competition, whereas Comesana's rating stands at 848.10. Fatigue may play a role, with Opelka having spent 199 minutes on court compared to Comesana's 105 minutes, indicating that Opelka might be feeling the strain of the tournament. On the serve front, Opelka boasts a mean serve index of 98.61, which is considerably stronger than Comesana's 95.85, showing a difference greater than 5 points. Conversely, Comesana leads in mean return index with 87.45 compared to Opelka’s 82.72, suggesting he may have the edge in returning serves. In their last three matches, Opelka has shown strong form, winning two out of three matches, including his recent success against Alex de Minaur, where he did not drop a set. Conversely, Comesana has also achieved two victories, but his loss to Alex de Minaur in Toronto raises questions about his consistency against higher-ranked opponents.

Final Prediction

Reilly Opelka's superior serving ability and recent form give him a slight edge heading into this matchup. One key factor to monitor will be how Comesana responds to Opelka's powerful serves, which could dictate the flow of the match and ultimately influence the outcome.