Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Reilly Opelka vs Rinky Hijikata Prediction

Reilly Opelka

Rank: #94
48%
VS

Rinky Hijikata

Rank: #82
52%
Predicted Games Played: 39.0
Predicted Winner: Rinky Hijikata

Player Metrics

Reilly Opelka

Form Index: 33.4
ELO Rating: 829.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1648.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 3.2
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 98.9
Return Rating: 83.3

Rinky Hijikata

Form Index: 24.9
ELO Rating: 677.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1549.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.8
Clay: 5.3
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Reilly Opelka

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Ofner (0-2) clay Geneva 96 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Enrico Dalla Valle (2-0) clay Geneva 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (0-2) clay Rome 108 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) clay Madrid 106 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (2-0) clay Madrid 125 min

Rinky Hijikata

  • Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (1-2) clay Rome 153 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) clay Madrid 125 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Fabio Fognini (1-2) clay Madrid 168 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lloyd Harris (2-1) clay Madrid 147 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Shevchenko (1-2) clay Munich 119 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Reilly Opelka
vs
0
Rinky Hijikata
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Roland Garros, Reilly Opelka faces off against Rinky Hijikata on the clay surface in France. With a slight edge in probability, Hijikata is predicted to win with a 51.93% chance over Opelka's 48.07%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 39 games played.

Match Analysis

Reilly Opelka, currently ranked 94, has a form index of 33.42 and an Elo rating of 829.56. His surface strength index of 3.18 indicates he may struggle on clay, despite his notable mean serve index of 98.90, which reflects his strong serving capability. Opelka's mean return index of 83.28 also suggests he may be less effective on his opponent's serve. In contrast, Rinky Hijikata, ranked 82, has a lower form index of 24.95, but a better surface strength index of 5.31. His mean serve index of 95.04 is slightly lower than Opelka's, but his mean return index of 86.08 gives him a significant advantage in return games with a difference greater than 5 points. Analyzing their recent performances, Opelka's last three matches have resulted in one win and two losses, with both losses coming in straight sets. His victory against Enrico Dalla Valle was a positive note, but overall, his recent form lacks consistency. On the other hand, Hijikata has faced similar struggles, losing two of his last three matches, including a recent encounter against Corentin Moutet. However, he has shown resilience in longer matches, indicating that he can compete well even under pressure.

Final Prediction

Rinky Hijikata's slight edge in return performance and a better surface strength index provide him with a favorable position heading into the match against Opelka. A key factor to observe will be how each player's serve holds up under the challenging conditions of clay, particularly whether Hijikata can capitalize on Opelka's return weaknesses.