Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Rinky Hijikata vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Rinky Hijikata

Rank: #111
46%
VS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rank: #43
54%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranking Trends

Rinky Hijikata

  • Current Rank: #111 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #74 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #86 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #73 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #81 (2024-09-16)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

  • Current Rank: #43 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #53 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #65 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #97 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #91 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Rinky Hijikata

Form Index: 43.4
ELO Rating: 655.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1543.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 235.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 7.1
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 86.2

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form Index: 26.8
ELO Rating: 791.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.0
Return Rating: 88.8

Recent Matches

Rinky Hijikata
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Holt (2-0) hard Hangzhou 103 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Christopher Eubanks (2-1) hard Hangzhou 132 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Luciano Darderi (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Murphy Cassone (1-1) hard Washington 59 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Adhithya Ganesan (2-0) hard Washington 74 min

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Cincinnati 63 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Kei Nishikori (2-0) hard Cincinnati 97 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Roberto Carballes Baena (0-2) hard Toronto 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Luciano Darderi (0-2) clay Umag 104 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Rinky Hijikata
vs
0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Hangzhou tournament in China, Rinky Hijikata is set to face Camilo Ugo Carabelli on hard courts. The predicted winner of this matchup is Camilo Ugo Carabelli, with a probability of winning at 54.25%, while Hijikata holds a 45.75% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Rinky Hijikata currently ranks 111th and has a form index of 43.40. His Elo rating stands at 655.06, indicating a solid competitive level, though he shows signs of fatigue with 235 minutes on court in the current tournament. Hijikata's surface strength index is 7.02, coupled with a mean serve index of 96.27 and a mean return index of 86.15. In contrast, Camilo Ugo Carabelli's rank is significantly higher at 43, with a form index of 26.80 and an Elo rating of 791.81. Notably, Carabelli demonstrates no fatigue, having just begun his tournament journey. His surface strength index is 5.92, with a mean serve of 95.02 and a return index of 88.79. The differences in their mean serve and return indices are marginal, keeping the matchup tightly contested. In their recent performances, Hijikata has shown resilience, winning his last two matches against Brandon Holt and Christopher Eubanks, while his only loss in the last three matches came at the US Open against Luciano Darderi. On the other hand, Carabelli's recent form has been shaky, suffering three consecutive losses, albeit one of these was against the formidable Kei Nishikori, where he did perform well.

Final Prediction

Camilo Ugo Carabelli's higher ranking and Elo rating provide him with a notable advantage over Rinky Hijikata, despite their recent form suggesting an unpredictable match. A key factor to observe will be how Hijikata manages his fatigue against Carabelli's fresh legs, which could be crucial in determining the outcome of this tightly matched contest.