Almaty Kazakhstan Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Rinky Hijikata vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Rinky Hijikata

Rank: #114
34%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #22
66%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

Player Metrics

Rinky Hijikata

Form Index: 44.2
ELO Rating: 640.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1548.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 292.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.5
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 7.1
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 86.3

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 39.6
ELO Rating: 1351.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1653.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.8
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.8
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Rinky Hijikata

  • Last Match: vs Timofey Skatov (2-1) hard Almaty 134 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ugo Blanchet (0-2) hard Almaty 68 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jakub Paul (2-0) hard Almaty 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs James Trotter (1-2) hard Shanghai 150 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Stefano Napolitano (2-0) hard Shanghai 80 min

Flavio Cobolli

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-2) hard Shanghai 92 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Beijing 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (2-0) hard Beijing 112 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Rinky Hijikata
vs
1
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 match at the Almaty tournament in Kazakhstan features Rinky Hijikata facing off against Flavio Cobolli on a hard surface. Cobolli is favored to win with a probability of 65.65%, while Hijikata has a 34.35% chance of emerging victorious. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Rinky Hijikata, currently ranked 114, has a form index of 44.20 and an Elo rating of 640.27. His fatigue level stands at 292 minutes, indicating he has spent a significant amount of time on the court in this tournament. In terms of surface performance, Hijikata has a surface strength index of 6.53, a mean serve index of 96.42, and a mean return index of 86.34. Flavio Cobolli, on the other hand, holds a much stronger rank at 22, an Elo rating of 1351.34, and zero cumulative fatigue, suggesting he is fresh for this match. His surface strength index is notably higher at 9.83, with a mean serve index of 95.13 and a mean return index of 87.96. The difference in mean return indices, with Cobolli's exceeding Hijikata's by over 5 points, indicates Cobolli's superior returning capabilities. In their recent performances, Hijikata has had a mixed bag, winning 2 out of his last 3 matches, including a hard-fought victory against Timofey Skatov where he played for 134 minutes. However, he also faced a setback against Ugo Blanchet, losing that match. Conversely, Cobolli has struggled in his recent outings, losing his last two matches against Jaume Munar and Learner Tien, but he did secure a notable win over Andrey Rublev prior to those losses, showcasing his potential despite the recent downturn.

Final Prediction

Flavio Cobolli's edge comes from his higher rank, fresh status, and greater surface strength, coupled with a superior mean return index. A key factor to observe during the match will be how each player handles their service games, particularly given Cobolli's returning prowess, which could significantly impact Hijikata's performance under pressure.