Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Roberto Bautista Agut vs Christopher O'Connell Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut

Rank: #53
55%
VS

Christopher O'Connell

Rank: #77
45%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Roberto Bautista Agut

Player Metrics

Roberto Bautista Agut

Form Index: 41.4
ELO Rating: 1220.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1613.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.1
Clay: 9.2
Grass: 10.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 87.0

Christopher O'Connell

Form Index: 38.3
ELO Rating: 736.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1565.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Roberto Bautista Agut

  • Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Cincinnati 109 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) hard Cincinnati 111 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) hard Cincinnati 119 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 118 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Christopher O'Connell

  • Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-1) hard Toronto 121 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-0) hard Toronto 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) hard Washington 71 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Johannus Monday (1-2) grass Eastbourne 112 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Roberto Bautista Agut
vs
0
Christopher O'Connell
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Winston-Salem tournament, Roberto Bautista Agut faces Christopher O'Connell on hard court in North Carolina. Bautista Agut is predicted to win with a probability of 54.60%, while O'Connell has a 45.40% chance of victory. The match is expected to feature approximately 23 games.

Match Analysis

Roberto Bautista Agut currently ranks 53rd, boasting a form index of 41.45 and an Elo rating of 1220.83. He has shown resilience with zero cumulative fatigue from the tournament thus far. His surface strength index of 9.10 aligns favorably for hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 97.00 and a mean return index of 86.97. In contrast, Christopher O'Connell ranks 77th with a lower form index of 38.32 and an Elo rating of 736.45. Like Bautista Agut, he has zero fatigue, but his surface strength index is slightly higher at 9.99. O'Connell's mean serve index of 95.96 and mean return index of 85.09 indicate a notable gap in serving ability, with a difference exceeding 5 points in mean serve index. Examining recent performances, Bautista Agut has had a mixed bag, winning two of his last three matches, including a solid victory over Cameron Norrie. However, he most recently fell to Ben Shelton in a straight-sets loss. O'Connell, on the other hand, is coming off a significant win against Stefanos Tsitsipas, following earlier victories over Chun-Hsin Tseng, which highlights his competitive form despite a loss to Ethan Quinn prior to that.

Final Prediction

Roberto Bautista Agut's higher ranking, stronger serve, and overall experience provide him an edge going into this match. The key factor to watch will be Bautista Agut's ability to leverage his superior serving skills against O'Connell's return game, which could ultimately dictate the pace and outcome of the match.