Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Rank: #30
45%
VS

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #56
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Fabian Marozsan

Ranking Trends

Stefanos Tsitsipas

  • Current Rank: #30 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #19 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #12 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #12 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #11 (2024-08-12)

Fabian Marozsan

  • Current Rank: #56 (2025-07-28)
  • 3 Months Ago: #61 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #57 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #59 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #50 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Form Index: 16.4
ELO Rating: 2056.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1848.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.0
Clay: 23.4
Grass: 22.9
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 84.8

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 52.7
ELO Rating: 1274.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1615.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 132.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.9
Clay: 10.0
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Stefanos Tsitsipas
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Christopher O'Connell (1-2) hard Toronto 121 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Royer (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) grass Halle 103 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Gigante (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Fabian Marozsan
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Colton Smith (2-1) hard Cincinnati 132 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Flavio Cobolli (1-2) hard Toronto 110 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-0) hard Toronto 101 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Dellien (2-0) hard Toronto 63 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (0-2) hard Washington 73 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Stefanos Tsitsipas
vs
0
Fabian Marozsan
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Fabian Marozsan at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 tournament marks a critical Round of 64 encounter on hard courts. Despite Tsitsipas's higher rank (30) compared to Marozsan (56), the prediction favors Marozsan with a winning probability of 54.87% against Tsitsipas's 45.13%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Tsitsipas holds a solid Elo rating of 2056.10 and a form index of 16.44, indicating a challenging period, as evidenced by his recent performances. His fatigue level stands at 0, suggesting he is fresh for this match. However, Marozsan exhibits a higher form index of 52.70, reflecting better recent performances despite a fatigue level of 132 minutes from previous matches. Tsitsipas boasts a mean serve index of 97.35, while Marozsan's is slightly lower at 95.48; this 1.87-point difference does not indicate a significant advantage. Conversely, Marozsan demonstrates a stronger mean return index of 87.23 compared to Tsitsipas's 84.75, which could play a pivotal role in the match dynamics. In their last three matches, Tsitsipas has struggled with three consecutive losses, failing to win a set in two of those encounters. In stark contrast, Marozsan's most recent match saw him secure a victory against Colton Smith, and he also managed to defeat Felix Auger-Aliassime prior to that, showcasing a more positive trajectory. This recent form may significantly bolster Marozsan's confidence against Tsitsipas.

Final Prediction

Marozsan's recent success against competitive opponents and a higher form index provides him with the edge going into this match. Observers should pay close attention to Marozsan’s return game, as his superior return index could disrupt Tsitsipas's serve, potentially swinging the match in his favor.