Stockholm Sweden Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Tallon Griekspoor vs Jacob Fearnley Prediction

Tallon Griekspoor

Rank: #31
59%
VS

Jacob Fearnley

Rank: #80
41%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tallon Griekspoor

Player Metrics

Tallon Griekspoor

Form Index: 35.2
ELO Rating: 1151.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1674.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.6
Clay: 10.4
Grass: 9.9
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 85.0

Jacob Fearnley

Form Index: 8.5
ELO Rating: 892.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1524.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.3
Clay: 7.8
Grass: 6.1
Serve Rating: 94.5
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Tallon Griekspoor

  • Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (1-2) hard Shanghai 142 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (2-1) hard Shanghai 156 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-1) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Beijing 109 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Taro Daniel (1-2) hard Chengdu 115 min

Jacob Fearnley

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (0-2) hard Winston Salem 94 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (0-2) hard Cincinnati 80 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (0-2) hard Toronto 70 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Tallon Griekspoor
vs
0
Jacob Fearnley
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Stockholm tournament, Tallon Griekspoor is set to face Jacob Fearnley on hard courts. Griekspoor, ranked 31st in the world, has a 58.54% probability of winning, while Fearnley, ranked 80th, has a 41.46% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this matchup is 23.

Match Analysis

Tallon Griekspoor's current form index stands at 35.20, significantly higher than Jacob Fearnley’s 8.47, indicating a substantial difference in recent performance levels. Griekspoor also possesses a higher Elo rating of 1151.85 compared to Fearnley’s 892.37, which underlines his superior ranking and experience. On fatigue, both players show a cumulative fatigue of 0.0 minutes, implying they come into this match well-rested. The surface strength index favors Griekspoor as well, with a score of 11.62 versus Fearnley’s 6.29. Notably, Griekspoor has a mean serve index of 97.94 compared to Fearnley’s 94.51, showcasing a significant difference of over 3 points. However, Fearnley excels in the return game with a mean return index of 88.72, which is higher than Griekspoor’s 85.02, though the difference is marginal. In their recent matches, Griekspoor has shown resilience by winning two out of his last three contests, with a notable victory against Jannik Sinner. In contrast, Fearnley has struggled, losing all three of his recent matches, including a tough defeat against Alexander Zverev at the US Open, where he failed to win a set.

Final Prediction

Griekspoor's edge in ranking, form, and serving capabilities positions him as the favored player in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Griekspoor's serve against Fearnley’s return game, as it could heavily influence the match dynamics and outcome.