Shanghai China Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Taylor Fritz vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #5
70%
VS

Fabian Marozsan

Rank: #57
30%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Player Metrics

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 77.6
ELO Rating: 3959.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1828.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.2
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.7
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 85.7

Fabian Marozsan

Form Index: 51.9
ELO Rating: 1195.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1622.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 106.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.1
Clay: 10.0
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 87.0

Recent Matches

Taylor Fritz

  • Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) hard Tokio 90 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (2-1) hard Tokio 138 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (2-0) hard Tokio 113 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-1) hard Tokio 129 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Fabian Marozsan

  • Last Match: vs Stan Wawrinka (2-1) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Beijing 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Beijing 93 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-0) hard Beijing 92 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ugo Blanchet (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Taylor Fritz
vs
0
Fabian Marozsan
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Taylor Fritz and Fabian Marozsan in the Round of 64 at the Shanghai Masters promises to be an engaging encounter on hard courts. Taylor Fritz, currently ranked 5th, is favored to win with a probability of 69.95%, while Fabian Marozsan, ranked 57th, has a win probability of 30.05%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz enters this match in excellent form, boasting a form index of 77.59 and an Elo rating of 3959.37, indicating his strong current performance level. He has zero cumulative fatigue from the tournament, suggesting he is well-rested and prepared. His surface strength index stands at 31.15, underscoring his proficiency on hard courts. In contrast, Fabian Marozsan, with a form index of 51.91 and an Elo rating of 1195.76, is facing a more challenging scenario. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is at 106 minutes, which may impact his endurance. Marozsan's surface strength index of 10.13 highlights a significant gap in his effectiveness on hard surfaces compared to Fritz. The difference in mean serve index is notable, with Fritz at 98.26 compared to Marozsan's 95.43, a gap of over 5 points that could be critical in determining service games. Additionally, Fritz's mean return index of 85.66 surpasses Marozsan's 87.02, presenting another advantage in terms of return capabilities. Recent performances reflect Fritz's dominance, having won his last three matches without dropping a set. Conversely, Marozsan's recent form has been mixed, highlighted by a win over Stan Wawrinka but also a loss to Jannik Sinner.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's superior ranking, form, and readiness position him as the clear favorite in this matchup against Fabian Marozsan. A key factor to watch will be Fritz's serve effectiveness, as his ability to dominate service games could greatly influence the match's outcome.