Geneva Switzerland Clay Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Taylor Fritz vs Hubert Hurkacz Prediction

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
49%
VS

Hubert Hurkacz

Rank: #31
51%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Hubert Hurkacz

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Taylor Fritz

  • Current #4 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #4 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #4 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #12 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #12 2024-05-20

Hubert Hurkacz

  • Current #31 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #20 2025-02-17
  • 6 mo ago #16 2024-11-18
  • 9 mo ago #7 2024-08-19
  • 12 mo ago #8 2024-05-20

Player Metrics

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 46.5
ELO Rating: 4548.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1791.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 95.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 34.3
Clay: 39.5
Grass: 44.6
Serve Rating: 98.9
Return Rating: 86.9

Hubert Hurkacz

Form Index: 57.3
ELO Rating: 2325.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1816.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 138.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.8
Clay: 21.5
Grass: 22.6
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 84.3

Recent Matches

Taylor Fritz
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

Hubert Hurkacz
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Taylor Fritz
vs
0
Hubert Hurkacz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinals of the ATP 250 tournament in Geneva, Switzerland, will see Taylor Fritz facing Hubert Hurkacz on clay. With both players showing competitive form, Hurkacz is slightly favored to win, holding a 50.51% probability compared to Fritz's 49.49%. The predicted total number of games for this match is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz enters this match ranked 4th globally, boasting a strong form index of 46.52 and an Elo rating of 4548.17. However, he has accumulated significant fatigue with 95 minutes on court during this tournament and holds a surface strength index of 39.47. His mean serve index of 98.86 is considerably high, while his mean return index stands at 86.86, reflecting his capabilities on clay. In his recent performances, Fritz won his last match against Quentin Halys after a tough outing in Rome and Madrid, where he faced defeats against Marcos Giron and Casper Ruud. On the other hand, Hubert Hurkacz, ranked 31st, has a form index of 57.33 and an Elo rating of 2325.18. His fatigue level is notably higher at 138 minutes, which may influence his performance. Hurkacz's surface strength index is lower at 21.55, but he maintains a competitive mean serve index of 96.95 and a mean return index of 84.33. Recently, he has shown better results, winning both of his last matches in Geneva against Arthur Rinderknech and Arthur Cazaux, though he previously lost to Tommy Paul in Rome.

Final Prediction

Hubert Hurkacz's recent form and winning streak in Geneva give him a slight edge over Fritz, despite his lower ranking and higher fatigue. The key factor to monitor will be Fritz's ability to leverage his superior serve against Hurkacz, especially given the potential impact of fatigue on both players as the match progresses.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel