Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Quarterfinals

Taylor Fritz vs Karen Khachanov Prediction

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #5
61%
VS

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #20
39%
Predicted Games Played: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Ranking Trends

Taylor Fritz

  • Current Rank: #5 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #4 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #4 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #7 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #12 (2024-07-01)

Karen Khachanov

  • Current Rank: #20 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #26 (2025-03-31)
  • 6 Months Ago: #19 (2024-12-30)
  • 9 Months Ago: #25 (2024-09-30)
  • 12 Months Ago: #22 (2024-07-01)

Player Metrics

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 90.7
ELO Rating: 4317.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1807.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 34.3
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.7
Serve Rating: 98.7
Return Rating: 86.3

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 89.8
ELO Rating: 1821.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1754.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 696.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 16.8
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Taylor Fritz
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jordan Thompson (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Gabriel Diallo (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) grass Eastbourne 86 min

Karen Khachanov
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Kamil Majchrzak (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nuno Borges (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Shintaro Mochizuki (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mackenzie McDonald (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) grass Halle 122 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Taylor Fritz
vs
0
Karen Khachanov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of Wimbledon 2025, Taylor Fritz faces Karen Khachanov on grass, a surface that typically favors powerful servers. The predicted winner of this match is Taylor Fritz, with a probability of 60.51% to Karen Khachanov's 39.49%. The anticipated total number of games played is 37.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz, currently ranked 5th, boasts an impressive form index of 90.69 and an Elo rating of 4317.77, indicating his strong recent performance. His cumulative fatigue stands at 696 minutes, which is the same as Khachanov's, suggesting both players are equally tested. Fritz's surface strength index of 44.73 highlights his proficiency on grass, particularly when compared to Khachanov's index of 16.81. Additionally, Fritz has a notable advantage in his mean serve index, scoring 98.66 compared to Khachanov's 95.24, a difference of over 3 points, which could play a crucial role in maintaining his service games. In their last three matches, Fritz has demonstrated remarkable consistency, winning all three encounters, with a mix of straight sets and competitive matches. Notably, he faced tough opposition but managed to close out matches decisively. Khachanov, while also unbeaten in his last three matches, has shown a slightly less dominant performance, particularly in his second match where he dropped two sets. Both players have performed well on grass, but Fritz's ability to serve effectively could give him the edge.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's higher ranking, superior form index, and better performance metrics on grass suggest he holds a distinct advantage going into this quarterfinal match. One key factor to observe will be Fritz's serving effectiveness, as his strong mean serve index could dictate the pace and flow of the match.