Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Taylor Fritz vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
58%
VS

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #24
42%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Ranking Trends

Taylor Fritz

  • Current Rank: #4 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #4 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #4 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #4 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #6 (2024-10-21)

Ugo Humbert

  • Current Rank: #24 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #23 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #22 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #14 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #16 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 58.2
ELO Rating: 3863.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1824.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 156.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 30.3
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.7
Serve Rating: 98.3
Return Rating: 85.6

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 58.7
ELO Rating: 1527.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1666.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 70.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.1
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 17.7
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 85.0

Recent Matches

Taylor Fritz
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Valentin Vacherot (2-1) hard Basel 156 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (0-2) hard Shanghai 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-1) hard Shanghai 140 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) hard Tokio 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) hard Tokio 90 min

Ugo Humbert
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Korda (2-0) hard Basel 70 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Casper Ruud (0-2) hard Stockholm 66 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (0-2) hard Stockholm 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-1) hard Stockholm 163 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Berrettini (2-0) hard Stockholm 92 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Taylor Fritz
vs
0
Ugo Humbert
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Basel tournament, Taylor Fritz is set to face Ugo Humbert on a hard court surface. With Fritz ranked 4th and Humbert at 24th, the match promises to be competitive. The predicted winner is Taylor Fritz, with a winning probability of 57.65% compared to Humbert’s 42.35%. The expected total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz's form index of 58.19 indicates a solid performance level, complemented by an Elo rating of 3863.37, which strongly suggests his experience in high-stakes matches. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 156.0 minutes, which may impact his endurance. Fritz’s surface strength index at 30.32 highlights his competence on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 98.27 is significantly higher than Humbert's 95.70, giving him a notable edge in serving ability. Ugo Humbert, with a form index of 58.69, presents a competitive challenge despite his lower ranking. His Elo rating of 1527.49 and a fatigue level of 70.0 minutes indicate he is more rested than Fritz. Humbert's surface strength index of 15.09 reflects a lesser adaptation to hard courts compared to Fritz. In their recent performances, Fritz experienced mixed results, winning against Vacherot but losing to Mpetshi Perricard, while Humbert achieved a recent victory over Korda and faced defeats against Ruud and Rune.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's superior ranking, serve strength, and experience on hard courts provide him with a discernible advantage in this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be Fritz’s ability to manage his fatigue, as it could significantly influence his performance against Humbert.