Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 16

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry Prediction

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rank: #60
38%
VS

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Rank: #51
62%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Player Metrics

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form Index: 47.1
ELO Rating: 802.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1576.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 145.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.5
Clay: 6.7
Grass: 4.5
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 89.0

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Form Index: 39.3
ELO Rating: 1087.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1610.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 119.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 9.8
Grass: 10.5
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 87.1

Recent Matches

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Baez (2-1) clay Hamburg 145 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Rome 66 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Pablo Carreno Busta (2-1) clay Rome 126 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Christopher O'Connell (0-2) clay Madrid 73 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (0-2) clay Monte Carlo 92 min

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

  • Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) clay Hamburg 119 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (0-2) clay Rome 74 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Madrid 107 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Hamad Medjedovic (2-1) clay Madrid 196 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) clay Barcelona 85 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
vs
0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The round of 16 matchup between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Martin Etcheverry at the Hamburg tournament promises to be an intriguing clash on clay. This ATP 500 event in Germany sets the stage for both players to showcase their skills on their preferred surface. The predicted winner is Tomas Martin Etcheverry, with a probability of 62.07% for victory compared to Camilo Ugo Carabelli's 37.93%. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Tomas Martin Etcheverry holds a higher rank at 51 compared to Camilo Ugo Carabelli's 60, suggesting a slight edge in overall performance consistency. Etcheverry's Elo rating of 1087.72 significantly surpasses Carabelli's 802.40, indicating superior historical performance. Both players demonstrate similar fatigue levels, with Carabelli at 145 minutes and Etcheverry at 119 minutes, yet the surface strength index favors Etcheverry (9.76) over Carabelli (6.65). Notably, the difference in their mean serve index is marginal, with Carabelli at 96.53 and Etcheverry at 95.93, which may not be a decisive factor. However, the mean return index of 89.05 for Carabelli exceeds Etcheverry's 87.11, highlighting Carabelli's strong return capabilities. In their recent performances, Carabelli has shown mixed results, winning two of his last three matches, including a victory over Sebastian Baez in Hamburg. However, he faced a tough loss against Alexander Zverev in Rome, which may impact his confidence. Conversely, Etcheverry has won his last match against Francisco Comesana but struggled in his previous two matches in Rome and Madrid, which may affect his momentum.

Final Prediction

Tomas Martin Etcheverry's higher Elo rating and overall ranking provide him with a competitive advantage heading into this match. The key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Carabelli's returning game against Etcheverry's serve, as this could determine the flow of the match.