Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 32

Ugo Blanchet vs Tomas Machac Prediction

Ugo Blanchet

Rank: #184
25%
VS

Tomas Machac

Rank: #22
75%
Predicted Games Played: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Machac

Player Metrics

Ugo Blanchet

Form Index: 88.5
ELO Rating: 711.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1552.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 870.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 2.4
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 86.0

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 65.0
ELO Rating: 1229.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1599.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 348.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.2
Clay: 14.0
Grass: 13.1
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Ugo Blanchet

  • Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jaime Faria (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Dmitry Popko (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Borna Gojo (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min

Tomas Machac

  • Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) hard Cincinnati 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (1-2) hard Toronto 140 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs August Holmgren (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ugo Blanchet
vs
0
Tomas Machac
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the US Open, held on hard courts in New York, Ugo Blanchet faces off against Tomas Machac. The predicted winner of this match is Tomas Machac, with a probability of 74.90% compared to Blanchet's 25.10%. The anticipated total number of games played is around 38.

Match Analysis

Tomas Machac comes into this match ranked 22, with a significantly higher Elo rating of 1229.31 compared to Ugo Blanchet's 711.10. Machac has a form index of 65.04, while Blanchet holds a better form index of 88.51, reflecting his recent success in the tournament. However, fatigue levels differ sharply, with Machac at 348 minutes on court compared to Blanchet's 870 minutes, potentially giving Machac an edge in stamina. Notably, Machac’s surface strength index of 14.20 greatly surpasses Blanchet’s 5.37, indicating his superior performance on hard courts. Furthermore, Machac's mean serve index of 95.22 is slightly better than Blanchet's 94.43, but the difference in return indices is marginal, with Machac at 86.81 compared to Blanchet's 86.04. Recent performances show that both players have been successful in their last three matches at the US Open. Machac has convincingly won all three matches, demonstrating solid form with a straight-sets victory in his last match against Joao Fonseca. Conversely, Blanchet also triumphed in his matches but with a more competitive series against his opponents, winning in five sets against Jakub Mensik in the last round.

Final Prediction

The predicted edge for Tomas Machac stems from his higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and significantly lower fatigue levels. A key factor to watch during the match will be how Blanchet manages his fatigue against Machac's fresh legs, which could heavily influence the match's outcome.