Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Ugo Humbert vs Adam Walton Prediction

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #25
56%
VS

Adam Walton

Rank: #85
44%
Expected Total Games: 38.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

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Ranking Trends

Ugo Humbert

  • Current #25 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #21 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #15 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #14 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #17 2024-08-26

Adam Walton

  • Current #85 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #91 2025-05-26
  • 6 mo ago #97 2025-02-24
  • 9 mo ago #92 2024-11-25
  • 12 mo ago #95 2024-08-26

Player Metrics

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 34.5
ELO Rating: 1639.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1661.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.1
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 17.6
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 84.6

Adam Walton

Form Index: 38.1
ELO Rating: 789.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1570.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.5
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 4.8
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 86.8

Recent Matches

Ugo Humbert
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) hard Cincinnati 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Coleman Wong (2-0) hard Cincinnati 67 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Gael Monfils (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) grass Eastbourne 167 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Billy Harris (2-0) grass Eastbourne 101 min

Adam Walton
❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (1-2) hard Winston Salem 149 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jiri Lehecka (0-2) hard Cincinnati 114 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Cincinnati 141 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Mariano Navone (2-1) hard Cincinnati 159 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) hard Toronto 102 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ugo Humbert
vs
0
Adam Walton
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the first round of the 2025 US Open held on hard courts in New York, Ugo Humbert is set to face Adam Walton. Based on current statistics, Humbert is the predicted winner with a 56.04% probability of success, while Walton has a 43.96% chance. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 38.

Match Analysis

Ugo Humbert, currently ranked 25, boasts a solid form index of 34.53 and an Elo rating of 1639.37. He shows no signs of fatigue with a cumulative total of 0 minutes on court during this tournament. His surface strength index stands at 17.09, indicating a favorable adaptation to hard surfaces. Notably, Humbert's mean serve index is 97.00, which is slightly superior to Walton's mean serve index of 95.75, although the difference is under the 5-point threshold. However, Humbert's mean return index of 84.57 is significantly lower than Walton's 86.82, suggesting Walton may have an advantage in returning serves. Adam Walton, ranked 85, has a form index of 38.05 and a considerably lower Elo rating of 789.17. He, too, demonstrates no fatigue, which could play a role in his performance. In his last three matches, Walton's results highlight a mixed bag; he lost to Botic van de Zandschulp and Jiri Lehecka but did manage to secure a victory against Daniil Medvedev. In contrast, Humbert's recent performances have shown inconsistency, losing to both Frances Tiafoe and Gael Monfils while achieving a win against Coleman Wong.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert holds a slight edge over Adam Walton primarily due to his higher ranking, Elo rating, and serve index. However, Walton's superior mean return index could potentially influence the match dynamics. Observing how Humbert's serve interacts with Walton's return capabilities will be crucial in determining the outcome.

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