Tokio Japan Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Ugo Humbert vs Jenson Brooksby Prediction

Ugo Humbert

Rank: #24
53%
VS

Jenson Brooksby

Rank: #86
47%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Ugo Humbert

Player Metrics

Ugo Humbert

Form Index: 21.2
ELO Rating: 1512.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1656.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.0
Clay: 15.1
Grass: 17.6
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 84.6

Jenson Brooksby

Form Index: 49.5
ELO Rating: 1003.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1587.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.6
Clay: 4.9
Grass: 4.3
Serve Rating: 94.0
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Ugo Humbert

  • Last Match: vs Adam Walton (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) hard Cincinnati 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Coleman Wong (2-0) hard Cincinnati 67 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) grass Eastbourne 167 min

Jenson Brooksby

  • Last Match: vs Flavio Cobolli (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) hard Cincinnati 84 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Arthur Cazaux (2-0) hard Cincinnati 113 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-1) hard Cincinnati 159 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ugo Humbert
vs
1
Jenson Brooksby
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Ugo Humbert and Jenson Brooksby is set to take place in the Round of 32 at the ATP 500 tournament in Tokyo, Japan, on a hard surface. Ugo Humbert is predicted to win the match with a probability of 52.71%, while Jenson Brooksby holds a slightly lower probability of 47.29%. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Ugo Humbert comes into this match ranked 24th with a solid form index of 21.16, indicating a decent level of performance recently. His Elo rating stands at 1512.32, coupled with a fatigue level of 0.0, suggesting he is fresh and ready to compete. Humbert's surface strength index of 15.97 reflects a strong capability on hard courts, and he possesses a mean serve index of 96.96, which is significantly higher than Brooksby's 94.03. This 2.93-point difference may prove advantageous, especially in crucial service games. Furthermore, Humbert’s mean return index of 84.59 is marginally lower than Brooksby’s 88.19, hinting that Brooksby may be more effective in returning serve. Jenson Brooksby, currently ranked 86th, has a higher form index of 49.54, showcasing better recent form despite his lower ranking. His performances in the last three matches reveal a mixed bag; he lost his last match at the US Open against Flavio Cobolli but did secure a victory against Aleksandar Vukic in a prior round. His overall match duration indicates he has faced tough contests, but the cumulative fatigue is also at 0.0, similar to Humbert. Notably, Brooksby’s performances have shown resilience, though inconsistencies in winning sets have emerged.

Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert's higher serve index and a slightly better overall ranking give him a notable edge heading into this match, despite Brooksby's superior return capabilities. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Humbert can capitalize on his serve against Brooksby's return game, potentially dictating the flow and outcome of the match.