Kitzbuhel Austria Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez Prediction

Yannick Hanfmann

Rank: #141
51%
VS

Sebastian Baez

Rank: #43
49%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Yannick Hanfmann

Ranking Trends

Yannick Hanfmann

  • Current Rank: #141 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #123 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #95 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #91 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #116 (2024-07-22)

Sebastian Baez

  • Current Rank: #43 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #33 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #28 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #26 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #18 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Yannick Hanfmann

Form Index: 54.1
ELO Rating: 714.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1599.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 279.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.7
Clay: 6.3
Grass: 6.1
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.9

Sebastian Baez

Form Index: 24.0
ELO Rating: 1046.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1615.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 13.6
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 89.5

Recent Matches

Yannick Hanfmann
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lukas Neumayer (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Andrej Martin (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 67 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Albert Ramos-Vinolas (2-0) clay Kitzbuhel 111 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Calvin Hemery (0-2) clay Gstaad 115 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) grass Halle 90 min

Sebastian Baez
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Luciano Darderi (0-1) clay Bastad 64 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (2-1) clay Bastad 124 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (1-2) clay Hamburg 145 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yannick Hanfmann
vs
0
Sebastian Baez
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The round of 16 match at the Kitzbuhel tournament in Austria pits Yannick Hanfmann against Sebastian Baez. Both players will be competing on clay, a surface that can heavily influence match dynamics. The predicted winner is Yannick Hanfmann, with a probability of 50.66% to 49.34% for Baez, and a total of 23 games is expected to be played.

Match Analysis

Yannick Hanfmann, currently ranked 141, has a form index of 54.08 and an Elo rating of 714.34. His fatigue level stands at 279 minutes, which may impact his performance. Despite this, his surface strength index of 6.30 demonstrates his ability on clay surfaces. In contrast, Sebastian Baez holds a significantly higher rank at 43, with a form index of 23.96 and a more robust Elo rating of 1045.98. Baez’s fatigue is at 0 minutes, indicating he is fresh for the match. His surface strength index of 9.41 suggests he is well-suited for clay, and he also has superior mean return (89.49) and serve indices (95.09), although the difference in serve index is not substantial enough to be a decisive factor. In recent performances, Hanfmann has been in strong form, winning all three of his last matches in Kitzbuhel, including a solid victory over Lukas Neumayer. His confidence appears to be high, having not dropped a set in this tournament. Conversely, Baez has faced challenges, recently losing to Luciano Darderi and struggling in his last few matches, which included a defeat at Wimbledon. His recent inconsistency could play a crucial role in his performance against Hanfmann.

Final Prediction

Yannick Hanfmann's recent form and undefeated streak in Kitzbuhel provide him with a psychological edge going into this match. The key factor to watch will be Hanfmann's ability to maintain momentum against Baez, whose recent struggles might impact his mental resilience. The match promises to be competitive, with the surface likely favoring both players' unique strengths.