Shanghai
China
Hard
Masters 1000
Round of 128
Yi Zhou vs Jesper de Jong Prediction
Yi Zhou
Rank: #305
36%
VS
Jesper de Jong
Rank: #79
64%
Predicted Games Played:
22.0
Predicted Winner:
Jesper de Jong
Ranking Trends
Yi Zhou
- Current Rank: #305 (2025-09-22)
- 3 Months Ago: #321 (2025-06-30)
- 6 Months Ago: #364 (2025-03-31)
- 9 Months Ago: #363 (2024-12-30)
- 12 Months Ago: #440 (2024-09-30)
Jesper de Jong
- Current Rank: #79 (2025-09-22)
- 3 Months Ago: #106 (2025-06-30)
- 6 Months Ago: #98 (2025-03-31)
- 9 Months Ago: #112 (2024-12-30)
- 12 Months Ago: #118 (2024-09-30)
Player Metrics
Yi Zhou
Form Index:
26.2
ELO Rating:
227.9
Glicko2 Rating:
1482.5
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
2.8
Clay:
1.2
Grass:
1.2
Serve Rating:
97.5
Return Rating:
88.6
Jesper de Jong
Form Index:
59.8
ELO Rating:
822.9
Glicko2 Rating:
1592.3
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
6.3
Clay:
7.5
Grass:
4.4
Serve Rating:
95.2
Return Rating:
86.9
Recent Matches
Yi Zhou
- Last Match: vs David Goffin (1-2) hard Beijing 146 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Christopher O'Connell (0-2) hard Chengdu 93 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-1) hard Chengdu 164 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) hard Shanghai 64 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Yoshihito Nishioka (0-1) hard Shanghai 32 min
Jesper de Jong
- Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (0-2) hard Beijing 106 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Tristan Schoolkate (2-1) hard Beijing 170 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Mitchell Krueger (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Harold Mayot (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)
0
Yi Zhou
vs
0
Jesper de Jong
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0
Key Prediction Insights
In the Round of 128 at the Shanghai Masters 1000, Yi Zhou faces Jesper de Jong on hard courts in China. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with de Jong predicted to emerge victorious, holding a 63.82% probability of winning compared to Zhou's 36.18%. The expected total number of games played is projected to be around 22.
Match Analysis
Yi Zhou, ranked 305, has a form index of 26.24 and an Elo rating of 227.88. His cumulative fatigue is currently at zero, indicating he is well-rested. Zhou's surface strength index stands at 2.81, while his mean serve index is notably high at 97.51, complemented by a return index of 88.56. In contrast, Jesper de Jong, ranked 79, showcases a stronger form index of 59.81 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 822.92. He also has a surface strength index of 6.34. Although De Jong's serve index is slightly lower at 95.18, he maintains a strong return index of 86.87. The difference in their mean serve index is less than 5 points, but the return index difference is marginal.
Over their last three matches, Yi Zhou has struggled, winning only one match against Cameron Norrie while losing to both David Goffin and Christopher O'Connell. His recent performances indicate challenges in maintaining form. Conversely, Jesper de Jong's recent results are mixed; he has one win against Tristan Schoolkate and two losses, but his overall higher ranking and form suggest he is more consistently competitive.
Final Prediction
Jesper de Jong's superior ranking, form index, and overall performance metrics provide him a distinct advantage heading into the match against Yi Zhou. A key factor to monitor will be Zhou's ability to capitalize on his service game against De Jong's return, as any lapse could heavily influence the match outcome.