Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Yibing Wu vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Yibing Wu

Rank: #196
23%
VS

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #18
77%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

Ranking Trends

Yibing Wu

  • Current Rank: #196 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #283 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #421 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #407 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #566 (2024-09-16)

Daniil Medvedev

  • Current Rank: #18 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #11 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #8 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #5 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #5 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Yibing Wu

Form Index: 66.4
ELO Rating: 654.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1584.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 280.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.7
Clay: 1.2
Grass: 1.0
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.6

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 35.3
ELO Rating: 3097.1
Glicko2 Rating: 2083.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 75.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 30.0
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 41.0
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 87.8

Recent Matches

Yibing Wu
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Sebastian Korda (2-1) hard Hangzhou 109 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Adrian Mannarino (2-1) hard Hangzhou 171 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jerome Kym (0-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Luca Van Assche (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Daniil Medvedev
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nishesh Basavareddy (2-0) hard Hangzhou 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Benjamin Bonzi (2-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Adam Walton (1-2) hard Cincinnati 141 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexei Popyrin (1-2) hard Toronto 150 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Dalibor Svrcina (2-0) hard Toronto 111 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Yibing Wu
vs
1
Daniil Medvedev
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the ATP 250 tournament in Hangzhou, China, Yibing Wu is set to face off against Daniil Medvedev on hard courts. With a strong probability of 77.13%, Medvedev is favored to win, while Wu's chances stand at 22.87%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated to be around 22.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev, currently ranked 18, boasts a significantly higher Elo rating of 3097 compared to Yibing Wu's 654. This considerable gap in rankings suggests Medvedev's experience and skill level on tour. Medvedev's form index is at 35.35, reflecting some inconsistencies recently, while Wu has a form index of 66.42, indicating he is currently in better form. Fatigue may also play a role; Wu's cumulative fatigue stands at 280 minutes, significantly higher than Medvedev's 75 minutes, which could impact Wu's performance as the match progresses. Medvedev's surface strength index is 30.01, indicating a strong capacity to perform on hard courts, while Wu's surface strength index is at 6.68, highlighting a clear disparity. The mean serve index shows Medvedev slightly ahead at 95.19, while Wu's serve index is 95.85, revealing a competitive serving ability. However, Medvedev's return index of 87.78 is better than Wu's 85.63, giving him an edge in returning serves. In their last three matches, Medvedev has shown resilience despite a recent loss, while Wu has achieved two victories but also faced a defeat in a previous hard court match at the US Open.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev is anticipated to have the upper hand due to his superior ranking, lower fatigue levels, and stronger performance metrics on hard surfaces. A key factor to observe will be how Wu manages his fatigue throughout the match, as this could significantly affect his ability to compete against the experienced Medvedev.