Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
December 29, 2025
Stoke vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.8% (Stoke)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 31.9% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.0%
Under: 50.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
Sheffield Weds vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 25.4% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 26.3%
Away Win: 48.3% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.6%
Under: 52.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.3%
No Goal: 50.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Portsmouth vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.4% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 29.6%
Away Win: 24.0% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.4%
Under: 52.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.9%
No Goal: 54.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
Oxford vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.4% (Oxford)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 35.4% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.8%
No Goal: 47.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Norwich vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.7% (Norwich)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 33.5% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Middlesbrough vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.1% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 25.2%
Away Win: 18.7% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.8%
Under: 50.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.1%
No Goal: 44.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 29, 2025
Leicester vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.3% (Leicester)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 31.2% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.4%
Under: 57.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.7%
No Goal: 53.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
Coventry vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Coventry)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 31.9% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 57.4%
Under: 42.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.6%
No Goal: 41.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
Oxford vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.7% (Oxford)
Draw: 26.4%
Away Win: 46.9% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.8%
Under: 46.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.2%
No Goal: 41.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Birmingham vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.2% (Birmingham)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 26.5% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Millwall vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.1% (Millwall)
Draw: 27.3%
Away Win: 46.6% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.8%
Under: 50.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.1%
No Goal: 44.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
Coventry vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 70.1% (Coventry)
Draw: 18.6%
Away Win: 11.3% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 57.7%
Under: 42.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.1%
No Goal: 44.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
Leicester vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.7% (Leicester)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 32.2% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.4%
Under: 54.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Norwich vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.0% (Norwich)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 28.5% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.9%
No Goal: 52.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
Middlesbrough vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.8% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 25.8%
Away Win: 20.3% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.1%
Under: 51.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
Portsmouth vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.2% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 33.4% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Sheffield Weds vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.0% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 27.9%
Away Win: 43.0% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.7%
Under: 52.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.9%
No Goal: 46.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Stoke vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.6% (Stoke)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 30.8% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.1%
Under: 52.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 26, 2025
West Brom vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.2% (West Brom)
Draw: 27.9%
Away Win: 22.9% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.6%
Under: 48.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 26, 2025
Wrexham vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.4% (Wrexham)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 36.2% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.1%
Under: 52.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 8
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Derby vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.3% (Derby)
Draw: 27.5%
Away Win: 23.3% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Blackburn vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.6% (Blackburn)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 31.6% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 20, 2025
Preston vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.3% (Preston)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 29.3% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.9%
No Goal: 47.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Southampton vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.5% (Southampton)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 43.3% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.3%
Under: 44.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 62.1%
No Goal: 37.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
Bristol City vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.8% (Bristol City)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 37.8% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.4%
Under: 47.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.4%
No Goal: 42.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 20, 2025
Charlton vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.4% (Charlton)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 31.2% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 20, 2025
Sheffield United vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.3% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 31.3% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.4%
Under: 54.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 20, 2025
Hull vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.0% (Hull)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 34.8% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.6%
Under: 49.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.4%
No Goal: 44.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 20, 2025
Ipswich vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 85.5% (Ipswich)
Draw: 9.9%
Away Win: 4.6% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.6%
Under: 45.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.8%
No Goal: 55.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 20, 2025
QPR vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.1% (QPR)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 32.4% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.4%
Under: 51.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.7%
No Goal: 47.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal