Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
January 25, 2026
Portsmouth vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.1% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 37.4% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Bristol City vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 79.0% (Bristol City)
Draw: 13.3%
Away Win: 7.7% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.5%
Under: 46.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 42.2%
No Goal: 57.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 24, 2026
Millwall vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.7% (Millwall)
Draw: 28.4%
Away Win: 24.9% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.6%
Under: 53.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 24, 2026
Birmingham vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.9% (Birmingham)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 25.6% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Blackburn vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.6% (Blackburn)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 34.3% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.2%
Under: 55.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.0% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 25.5%
Away Win: 18.4% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.6%
Under: 50.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.2%
No Goal: 48.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 24, 2026
Hull vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.9% (Hull)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 32.0% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.8%
Under: 54.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
QPR vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.5% (QPR)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 26.5% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.5%
Under: 58.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.9%
No Goal: 54.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Sheffield United vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.9% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 42.0% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.4%
Under: 54.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.6%
No Goal: 47.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 24, 2026
Leicester vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.9% (Leicester)
Draw: 25.9%
Away Win: 19.2% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.7%
Under: 54.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.7%
No Goal: 56.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 23, 2026
Derby vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.2% (Derby)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 32.6% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.3%
Under: 56.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 21, 2026
Stoke vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.3% (Stoke)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 32.4% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 21, 2026
Watford vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.8% (Watford)
Draw: 26.5%
Away Win: 21.7% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.4%
Under: 56.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.9%
No Goal: 56.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 21, 2026
Southampton vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.3% (Southampton)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 32.9% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.5%
Under: 47.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.5%
No Goal: 44.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 20, 2026
Preston vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.9% (Preston)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 19.9% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 20, 2026
Charlton vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.2% (Charlton)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 31.1% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 20, 2026
Coventry vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.5% (Coventry)
Draw: 25.2%
Away Win: 16.3% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.4%
Under: 46.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 20, 2026
Ipswich vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 68.8% (Ipswich)
Draw: 20.2%
Away Win: 11.0% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.9%
Under: 53.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.4%
No Goal: 47.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 20, 2026
Oxford vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.9% (Oxford)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 37.8% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.4%
Under: 51.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 20, 2026
Swansea vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Swansea)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 31.9% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.7%
No Goal: 53.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 20, 2026
Sheffield Weds vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 24.5% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 25.1%
Away Win: 50.4% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.1%
Under: 54.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.5%
No Goal: 52.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 20, 2026
West Brom vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.9% (West Brom)
Draw: 26.4%
Away Win: 17.7% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.9%
No Goal: 54.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 20, 2026
Wrexham vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.4% (Wrexham)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 28.8% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.1%
No Goal: 47.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 17, 2026
Coventry vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.5% (Coventry)
Draw: 24.1%
Away Win: 20.4% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.6%
Under: 47.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 17, 2026
Ipswich vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 65.0% (Ipswich)
Draw: 21.6%
Away Win: 13.5% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Watford vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.2% (Watford)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 25.5% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.1%
Under: 52.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.6%
No Goal: 50.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Charlton vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.7% (Charlton)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 40.3% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.6%
No Goal: 45.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Oxford vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.1% (Oxford)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 43.3% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.3%
Under: 51.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.2%
No Goal: 46.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Preston vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.5% (Preston)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 25.8% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.9%
No Goal: 51.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Sheffield Weds vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.8% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 40.4% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.5%
No Goal: 51.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal