Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
January 17, 2026
Stoke vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.9% (Stoke)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 27.7% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.6%
Under: 52.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.6%
No Goal: 50.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 17, 2026
Wrexham vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.7% (Wrexham)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 28.6% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.0%
No Goal: 52.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 17, 2026
Swansea vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.3% (Swansea)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 33.3% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 17, 2026
Southampton vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.8% (Southampton)
Draw: 26.3%
Away Win: 18.9% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.9%
Under: 46.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.5%
No Goal: 45.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 16, 2026
West Brom vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (West Brom)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 32.8% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.1%
No Goal: 47.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 05, 2026
Leicester vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.4% (Leicester)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 32.8% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.4%
Under: 56.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.9%
No Goal: 52.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 04, 2026
Bristol City vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.6% (Bristol City)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 30.0% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.4%
No Goal: 47.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 04, 2026
Birmingham vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.0% (Birmingham)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 36.6% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 57.3%
Under: 42.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.3%
No Goal: 43.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 04, 2026
QPR vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 68.6% (QPR)
Draw: 18.4%
Away Win: 13.1% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.7%
Under: 50.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.0%
No Goal: 55.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 04, 2026
Blackburn vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.6% (Blackburn)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 21.5% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.5%
Under: 55.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.8%
No Goal: 54.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 04, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.9% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 26.7% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.5%
Under: 45.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.6%
No Goal: 42.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 04, 2026
Derby vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.1% (Derby)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 30.7% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.1%
No Goal: 50.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 04, 2026
Millwall vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.5% (Millwall)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 26.6% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 04, 2026
Norwich vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.3% (Norwich)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 31.1% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.7%
No Goal: 53.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Ipswich vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 81.3% (Ipswich)
Draw: 13.0%
Away Win: 5.7% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 01, 2026
Bristol City vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.1% (Bristol City)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 27.9% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Charlton vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.5% (Charlton)
Draw: 27.1%
Away Win: 46.4% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.9%
Under: 51.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 01, 2026
Blackburn vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.4% (Blackburn)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 23.8% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.0%
Under: 54.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.0%
No Goal: 52.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Derby vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.3% (Derby)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 38.2% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.2%
Under: 55.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Hull vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.8% (Hull)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 33.3% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.0%
Under: 54.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.8%
No Goal: 51.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Swansea vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.4% (Swansea)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 31.4% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.2%
Under: 55.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Preston vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 66.6% (Preston)
Draw: 20.8%
Away Win: 12.5% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.5%
No Goal: 53.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
QPR vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.5% (QPR)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 26.4% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 01, 2026
Southampton vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.9% (Southampton)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 27.0% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.3%
Under: 48.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Watford vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.4% (Watford)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 29.1% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.7%
Under: 54.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 01, 2026
Sheffield United vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.8% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 27.3%
Away Win: 24.9% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
Millwall vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Millwall)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 31.2% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.7%
Under: 52.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
Birmingham vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.8% (Birmingham)
Draw: 29.1%
Away Win: 29.2% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.8%
Under: 45.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.9%
No Goal: 42.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
Wrexham vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.9% (Wrexham)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 33.0% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.4%
Under: 50.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 29, 2025
West Brom vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.2% (West Brom)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 26.9% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal