Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
December 20, 2025
Watford vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.0% (Watford)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 30.3% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.2%
Under: 48.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 19, 2025
Swansea vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.1% (Swansea)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 31.0% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 15, 2025
Sheffield Weds vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.4% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 28.1%
Away Win: 42.5% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Leicester vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.6% (Leicester)
Draw: 27.4%
Away Win: 45.9% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Norwich vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.6% (Norwich)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 41.8% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.1%
Under: 46.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.4%
No Goal: 40.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Oxford vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.5% (Oxford)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 40.1% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Stoke vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.8% (Stoke)
Draw: 28.3%
Away Win: 23.9% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.4%
Under: 52.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Birmingham vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 63.1% (Birmingham)
Draw: 21.9%
Away Win: 15.0% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Coventry vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 66.0% (Coventry)
Draw: 20.0%
Away Win: 14.0% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 60.8%
Under: 39.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 61.3%
No Goal: 38.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 13, 2025
Millwall vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.7% (Millwall)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 24.1% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.3%
No Goal: 44.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Portsmouth vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.1% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 33.6% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.1%
No Goal: 51.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Wrexham vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.9% (Wrexham)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 33.5% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.7%
No Goal: 49.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 13, 2025
Middlesbrough vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.0% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 21.8% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.9%
Under: 56.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 12, 2025
West Brom vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.5% (West Brom)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 31.1% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.7%
Under: 52.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.6%
No Goal: 45.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 10, 2025
Hull vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.6% (Hull)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 34.4% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.9%
No Goal: 51.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 10, 2025
Ipswich vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.1% (Ipswich)
Draw: 25.4%
Away Win: 18.5% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.3%
No Goal: 48.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 10, 2025
Derby vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (Derby)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 33.1% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 10, 2025
Bristol City vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.2% (Bristol City)
Draw: 29.8%
Away Win: 29.0% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.0%
Under: 50.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 09, 2025
Blackburn vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.3% (Blackburn)
Draw: 26.9%
Away Win: 18.8% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 09, 2025
Southampton vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.0% (Southampton)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 24.7% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.9%
Under: 51.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 09, 2025
Charlton vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.7% (Charlton)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 45.5% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.2%
Under: 55.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 09, 2025
Sheffield United vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 65.4% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 20.1%
Away Win: 14.5% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.7%
No Goal: 48.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 09, 2025
Preston vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.6% (Preston)
Draw: 27.1%
Away Win: 46.3% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.9%
Under: 48.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 61.4%
No Goal: 38.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 09, 2025
Swansea vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.8% (Swansea)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 31.1% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.8%
No Goal: 53.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 09, 2025
Watford vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 67.7% (Watford)
Draw: 19.3%
Away Win: 13.0% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.5%
Under: 47.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.9%
No Goal: 50.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 09, 2025
QPR vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.9% (QPR)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 35.0% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.2%
No Goal: 46.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 06, 2025
Ipswich vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.6% (Ipswich)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 37.3% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.3%
Under: 48.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 63.3%
No Goal: 36.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 06, 2025
Derby vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.3% (Derby)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 36.0% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 06, 2025
Watford vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.7% (Watford)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 27.5% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.3%
Under: 47.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.2%
No Goal: 46.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 06, 2025
Bristol City vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.1% (Bristol City)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 28.3% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.4%
Under: 51.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.1%
No Goal: 47.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal