Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
December 06, 2025
Preston vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.1% (Preston)
Draw: 32.3%
Away Win: 30.6% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 06, 2025
QPR vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.3% (QPR)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 33.2% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.9%
Under: 53.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 06, 2025
Sheffield United vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.9% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 31.9% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.2%
No Goal: 46.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 06, 2025
Southampton vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.3% (Southampton)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 32.0% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.7%
Under: 55.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.6%
No Goal: 48.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 06, 2025
Swansea vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.0% (Swansea)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 28.1% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.2%
No Goal: 50.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
December 05, 2025
Hull vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.4% (Hull)
Draw: 28.5%
Away Win: 43.1% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.4%
Under: 50.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.1%
No Goal: 45.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 02, 2025
Blackburn vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.2% (Blackburn)
Draw: 27.5%
Away Win: 46.4% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.4%
Under: 55.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
December 01, 2025
Birmingham vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.1% (Birmingham)
Draw: 24.9%
Away Win: 17.0% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.7%
Under: 54.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.2%
No Goal: 48.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 29, 2025
Portsmouth vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.1% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 37.6% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.0%
Under: 48.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 29, 2025
Stoke vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 60.4% (Stoke)
Draw: 24.1%
Away Win: 15.5% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.3%
Under: 50.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 29, 2025
Millwall vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.1% (Millwall)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 36.2% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.8%
Under: 48.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.3%
No Goal: 44.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 29, 2025
Leicester vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.5% (Leicester)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 28.8% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 29, 2025
Middlesbrough vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.1% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 22.3% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 29, 2025
Coventry vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 73.1% (Coventry)
Draw: 17.1%
Away Win: 9.8% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.8%
Under: 47.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.6%
No Goal: 47.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 29, 2025
Norwich vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (Norwich)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 33.0% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 29, 2025
Sheffield Weds vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.8% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 41.4% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.1%
Under: 49.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 29, 2025
West Brom vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.1% (West Brom)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 26.8% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.0%
Under: 57.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.0%
No Goal: 52.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 29, 2025
Wrexham vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.7% (Wrexham)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 29.0% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.3%
Under: 54.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 28, 2025
Oxford vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 22.0% (Oxford)
Draw: 24.0%
Away Win: 53.9% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.1%
No Goal: 46.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 26, 2025
West Brom vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.3% (West Brom)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 35.7% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 26, 2025
Wrexham vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.8% (Wrexham)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 35.2% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.7%
No Goal: 47.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 26, 2025
Sheffield United vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.8% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 29.0%
Away Win: 26.3% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.7%
Under: 54.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 26, 2025
Millwall vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 63.3% (Millwall)
Draw: 21.4%
Away Win: 15.4% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 26, 2025
Blackburn vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.4% (Blackburn)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 31.2% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.5%
Under: 56.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 25, 2025
Stoke vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.6% (Stoke)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 25.0% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.9%
Under: 55.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.4%
No Goal: 52.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 25, 2025
Middlesbrough vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.9% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 27.9%
Away Win: 44.1% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.0%
No Goal: 42.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 25, 2025
Norwich vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.9% (Norwich)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 29.7% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.4%
Under: 51.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 25, 2025
Hull vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 25.9% (Hull)
Draw: 26.9%
Away Win: 47.2% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.7%
No Goal: 46.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 25, 2025
Swansea vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.2% (Swansea)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 28.8% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.1%
Under: 55.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.7%
No Goal: 52.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 25, 2025
Southampton vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.4% (Southampton)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 28.2% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal