Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
March 21, 2026
Charlton vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.9% (Charlton)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 37.5% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.1%
Under: 55.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
Watford vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.3% (Watford)
Draw: 27.0%
Away Win: 19.7% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
QPR vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.1% (QPR)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 37.6% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.7%
Under: 50.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 21, 2026
Sheffield United vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.8% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 30.7%
Away Win: 28.5% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.2%
Under: 49.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 21, 2026
Southampton vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 73.7% (Southampton)
Draw: 17.3%
Away Win: 8.9% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.1%
No Goal: 52.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 21, 2026
Swansea vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.9% (Swansea)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 40.7% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.9%
Under: 56.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.0%
No Goal: 47.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 20, 2026
Preston vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.3% (Preston)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 34.6% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 18, 2026
Southampton vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.0% (Southampton)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 23.5% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.5%
No Goal: 44.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 17, 2026
Watford vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.0% (Watford)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 29.9% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 16, 2026
Portsmouth vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 30.9% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.1%
Under: 55.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 14, 2026
Leicester vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.0% (Leicester)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 28.0% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.7%
Under: 48.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Coventry vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 43.6% (Coventry)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 26.0% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.2%
No Goal: 40.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 67.6% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 20.0%
Away Win: 12.4% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Oxford vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.3% (Oxford)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 25.2% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.5%
No Goal: 54.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Birmingham vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.4% (Birmingham)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 28.7% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.6%
Under: 48.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Norwich vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 64.8% (Norwich)
Draw: 20.7%
Away Win: 14.5% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.1%
Under: 51.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.6%
No Goal: 53.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 14, 2026
Millwall vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.1% (Millwall)
Draw: 24.6%
Away Win: 19.2% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.1%
No Goal: 52.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
Sheffield Weds vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 11.6% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 14.4%
Away Win: 73.9% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.9%
Under: 52.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.8%
No Goal: 43.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 14, 2026
Stoke vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.5% (Stoke)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 39.6% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.4%
No Goal: 49.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 14, 2026
West Brom vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.7% (West Brom)
Draw: 27.0%
Away Win: 19.4% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 13, 2026
Wrexham vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.3% (Wrexham)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 30.9% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.0%
Under: 55.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 11, 2026
Coventry vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 70.0% (Coventry)
Draw: 18.4%
Away Win: 11.6% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 11, 2026
West Brom vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.8% (West Brom)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 42.4% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.2%
Under: 56.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.7%
No Goal: 47.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 11, 2026
Oxford vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.9% (Oxford)
Draw: 31.8%
Away Win: 35.3% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.9%
No Goal: 52.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 11, 2026
Norwich vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.7% (Norwich)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 30.4% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.3%
Under: 53.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 11, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 72.1% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 18.3%
Away Win: 9.6% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.6%
No Goal: 54.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 11, 2026
Birmingham vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.1% (Birmingham)
Draw: 26.9%
Away Win: 22.0% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.6%
Under: 51.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.8%
No Goal: 51.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 10, 2026
Sheffield Weds vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 18.8% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 19.9%
Away Win: 61.3% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
March 10, 2026
Millwall vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.2% (Millwall)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 25.9% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.4%
Under: 55.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.9%
No Goal: 47.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
March 10, 2026
Portsmouth vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.0% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 31.8% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.5%
Under: 52.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal