Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
February 10, 2026
Oxford vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.8% (Oxford)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 37.3% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 10, 2026
Leicester vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.3% (Leicester)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 36.3% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.1%
Under: 51.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 09, 2026
Sheffield United vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.2% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 32.4% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.2%
Under: 50.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.4%
No Goal: 45.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 08, 2026
Swansea vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 76.7% (Swansea)
Draw: 14.8%
Away Win: 8.6% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.8%
Under: 46.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 42.4%
No Goal: 57.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 07, 2026
Norwich vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.7% (Norwich)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 33.2% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.1%
Under: 56.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.2%
No Goal: 55.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 07, 2026
Preston vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.1% (Preston)
Draw: 32.2%
Away Win: 32.8% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.3%
Under: 54.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.2%
No Goal: 51.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 07, 2026
Derby vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.9% (Derby)
Draw: 28.1%
Away Win: 45.0% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.1%
Under: 56.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.2%
No Goal: 45.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
Birmingham vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 57.5% (Birmingham)
Draw: 24.8%
Away Win: 17.7% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.7%
Under: 52.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
Southampton vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.5% (Southampton)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 30.2% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 07, 2026
Wrexham vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.0% (Wrexham)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 29.3% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.1%
Under: 55.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.6%
No Goal: 48.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 07, 2026
Coventry vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 74.0% (Coventry)
Draw: 16.2%
Away Win: 9.8% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.5%
Under: 44.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.4%
No Goal: 52.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 07, 2026
Hull vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.6% (Hull)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 35.2% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.8%
Under: 53.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 07, 2026
West Brom vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.0% (West Brom)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 27.6% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.5%
No Goal: 54.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 06, 2026
Charlton vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.0% (Charlton)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 35.8% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.8%
Under: 56.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.6%
No Goal: 50.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 03, 2026
Sheffield United vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 66.1% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 21.3%
Away Win: 12.6% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.0%
Under: 50.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.3%
No Goal: 55.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 03, 2026
Hull vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.3% (Hull)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 33.8% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.0%
Under: 50.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.9%
No Goal: 47.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 03, 2026
Blackburn vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 69.2% (Blackburn)
Draw: 18.0%
Away Win: 12.8% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 41.9%
No Goal: 58.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Stoke vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.4% (Stoke)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 33.4% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Blackburn vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.8% (Blackburn)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 26.9% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.7%
No Goal: 48.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 68.5% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 20.5%
Away Win: 11.0% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Sheffield Weds vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.6% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 25.9%
Away Win: 47.5% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.3%
Under: 52.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Ipswich vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 75.9% (Ipswich)
Draw: 15.7%
Away Win: 8.4% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.0%
Under: 50.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 31, 2026
Leicester vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.3% (Leicester)
Draw: 26.8%
Away Win: 23.9% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.6%
Under: 55.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Millwall vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.3% (Millwall)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 29.9% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.8%
Under: 48.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.9%
No Goal: 45.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 31, 2026
Portsmouth vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.8% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 35.5% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.6%
Under: 56.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.0%
No Goal: 50.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
QPR vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.2% (QPR)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 38.7% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.0%
Under: 50.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.8%
No Goal: 45.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
January 31, 2026
Watford vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.6% (Watford)
Draw: 26.1%
Away Win: 21.3% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.4%
Under: 51.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 31, 2026
Oxford vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.2% (Oxford)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 44.6% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.6%
Under: 56.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.0%
No Goal: 51.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 30, 2026
Bristol City vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 52.8% (Bristol City)
Draw: 27.5%
Away Win: 19.7% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.9%
Under: 56.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.1%
No Goal: 51.9%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
January 26, 2026
Norwich vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.2% (Norwich)
Draw: 27.7%
Away Win: 46.1% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.3%
No Goal: 46.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal