Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
February 24, 2026
Watford vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.0% (Watford)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 35.1% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.8%
No Goal: 42.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 24, 2026
Blackburn vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (Blackburn)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 32.8% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.4%
Under: 58.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.2%
No Goal: 53.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 24, 2026
Hull vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.4% (Hull)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 30.3% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.6%
Under: 49.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 24, 2026
Swansea vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.9% (Swansea)
Draw: 25.4%
Away Win: 17.7% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.5%
Under: 51.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.9%
No Goal: 54.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 24, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 64.4% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 21.3%
Away Win: 14.3% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.2%
No Goal: 46.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 24, 2026
West Brom vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.5% (West Brom)
Draw: 28.9%
Away Win: 20.6% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 41.2%
Under: 58.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 44.7%
No Goal: 55.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 24, 2026
Wrexham vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.2% (Wrexham)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 28.9% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.2%
Under: 50.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 24, 2026
Southampton vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.3% (Southampton)
Draw: 26.3%
Away Win: 18.5% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.0%
Under: 53.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 22, 2026
Sheffield United vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 83.0% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 10.5%
Away Win: 6.4% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 58.3%
Under: 41.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 43.6%
No Goal: 56.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Wrexham vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 29.4% (Wrexham)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 41.2% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.5%
Under: 53.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.8%
No Goal: 46.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 8
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Watford vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.2% (Watford)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 23.9% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.2%
Under: 48.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 21, 2026
Southampton vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 61.0% (Southampton)
Draw: 23.5%
Away Win: 15.5% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.9%
Under: 56.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.6%
No Goal: 53.4%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Norwich vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.9% (Norwich)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 38.6% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.6%
Under: 59.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.5%
No Goal: 51.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Millwall vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.4% (Millwall)
Draw: 27.2%
Away Win: 21.4% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.9%
Under: 54.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 76.2% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 15.4%
Away Win: 8.4% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.7%
Under: 53.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 40.5%
No Goal: 59.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 21, 2026
West Brom vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.3% (West Brom)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 40.0% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.8%
Under: 51.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.4%
No Goal: 48.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 21, 2026
Swansea vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.8% (Swansea)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 29.1% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.5%
Under: 56.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 21, 2026
Stoke vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.9% (Stoke)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 29.2% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 21, 2026
Hull vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.7% (Hull)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 32.1% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.6%
Under: 54.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 20, 2026
Blackburn vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.1% (Blackburn)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 26.2% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.4%
No Goal: 53.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 17, 2026
Bristol City vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.8% (Bristol City)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 31.6% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.9%
Under: 57.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.5%
No Goal: 50.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 17, 2026
Charlton vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.4% (Charlton)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 30.9% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.7%
No Goal: 51.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 16, 2026
Coventry vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.3% (Coventry)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 24.2% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.9%
Under: 45.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.0%
No Goal: 42.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 14, 2026
Sheffield Weds vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 21.9% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 23.6%
Away Win: 54.5% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 14, 2026
QPR vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.5% (QPR)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 27.4% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.8%
Under: 55.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 45.2%
No Goal: 54.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 14, 2026
Preston vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.6% (Preston)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 35.4% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.9%
Under: 50.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.2%
No Goal: 48.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
February 14, 2026
Portsmouth vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.3% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 33.4% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.8%
Under: 51.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.5%
No Goal: 44.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 14, 2026
Derby vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.9% (Derby)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 33.9% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.4%
Under: 56.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 11, 2026
Charlton vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.0% (Charlton)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 34.8% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.5%
Under: 55.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.0%
No Goal: 53.0%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
February 10, 2026
Birmingham vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.2% (Birmingham)
Draw: 27.4%
Away Win: 23.4% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 43.1%
Under: 56.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.9%
No Goal: 51.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal