Bundesliga 2025-2026: Augsburg vs Dortmund Prediction
Augsburg
Home Team
3%
VS
Dortmund
Away Team
94%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5:
48%
Under 2.5:
52%
Goal:
53%
No Goal:
47%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 26 | 24 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Ein Frankfurt | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Mainz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Augsburg
- Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 6)
- 2nd Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 4)
Dortmund
- Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Augsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.47
# Clean Sheets:
0
Dortmund
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.28
# Clean Sheets:
3
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Dortmund is heavily tipped in favor of the visitors, Dortmund, with a dominating 94.0% probability of winning. The match is also expected to see fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% chance for this outcome. Currently, Dortmund sits comfortably in 4th place with 17 points, while Augsburg struggles at 15th position with just 7 points.
Match Analysis
Augsburg's recent form has been inconsistent, with a notable heavy loss at home against RB Leipzig, where they conceded six goals. They managed a draw away against FC Koln and achieved a home victory over Wolfsburg. Despite scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game in their last five matches, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 3.5 goals per game. Their inability to keep clean sheets further complicates their situation, especially when facing a strong offensive team like Dortmund.
Dortmund, on the other hand, has shown resilience, bouncing back from a narrow defeat to Bayern Munich with a win over FC Koln and a draw against RB Leipzig. They have been consistent in finding the back of the net, averaging 2.0 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they've been relatively solid, conceding just 1.25 goals per game and managing to keep three clean sheets. Dortmund's expected goals metrics suggest they are likely to continue creating quality scoring opportunities, which could be decisive against Augsburg's fragile defense.
Final Prediction
Dortmund's edge in this matchup stems from their superior form and defensive solidity compared to Augsburg's vulnerabilities at the back. One key factor to watch is Dortmund's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, which Augsburg has struggled to defend against. With Dortmund's efficient attack and Augsburg's leaky defense, the visitors are well-positioned to secure the victory.