Bundesliga 2025-2026: Augsburg vs Freiburg Prediction - 18 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Augsburg

Home Team
32%
VS

Freiburg

Away Team
44%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%
Goal: 57%
No Goal: 43%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 17 15 2 0 66 13 53 47
2 Dortmund 17 10 6 1 32 15 17 36
3 RB Leipzig 16 10 2 4 32 19 13 32
4 Stuttgart 17 10 2 5 32 25 7 32
5 Hoffenheim 16 9 3 4 34 21 13 30
6 Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34 24 10 29
7 Ein Frankfurt 17 7 5 5 35 36 -1 26
8 Freiburg 17 6 5 6 27 29 -2 23
9 Union Berlin 17 6 5 6 23 26 -3 23
10 M'gladbach 17 5 4 8 23 29 -6 19
11 Wolfsburg 17 5 3 9 26 37 -11 18
12 FC Koln 17 4 5 8 25 29 -4 17
13 Werder Bremen 16 4 5 7 18 31 -13 17
14 Hamburg 16 4 4 8 17 27 -10 16
15 Augsburg 17 4 3 10 18 33 -15 15
16 Mainz 17 2 6 9 17 29 -12 12
17 St Pauli 16 3 3 10 14 28 -14 12
18 Heidenheim 17 3 3 11 16 38 -22 12

Recent Trends

Augsburg D L D L W

  • Last Match: D vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 0)

Freiburg L W W D L

  • Last Match: L vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Hamburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 4 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Augsburg

xG (avg) 1.36
xGA (avg) 1.24
Clean Sheets 2

Freiburg

xG (avg) 1.06
xGA (avg) 2.25
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

Freiburg is favored to win the upcoming clash against Augsburg with a 44.0% probability of victory. Augsburg, currently positioned 15th in the Bundesliga, will face the 8th-placed Freiburg, a team that has shown more consistency this season. The game also has a notable 54.0% probability of yielding over 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially high-scoring match.

Match Analysis

Augsburg enters this match with a challenging recent performance, managing only two draws and a loss in their last three games. They last drew 1-1 against Union Berlin at home and suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat away to M'gladbach. Despite these struggles, they managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five matches, a testament to their defensive solidity. However, their average of 0.8 goals per game in the last five fixtures reflects a need for improvement in the attacking phase. Freiburg, on the other hand, has displayed a mixed bag of performances, with two wins and one loss in their last three encounters. They secured a narrow victory against Hamburg and a thrilling 4-3 away win over Wolfsburg. Despite conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last five matches, Freiburg's offensive capabilities with an average of 1.4 goals per game could pose a challenge for Augsburg's defense. Their lack of clean sheets, however, suggests vulnerabilities that Augsburg might exploit.

Final Prediction

Freiburg's superior league position and recent victories give them an edge going into this encounter. Their attacking prowess, despite defensive lapses, is a key factor that could tilt the balance in their favor. Watch for Freiburg's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as their offensive momentum might be the decisive factor in this matchup.

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