Bundesliga 2025-2026: Augsburg vs Freiburg Prediction
Augsburg
Home Team
32%
VS
Freiburg
Away Team
44%
Draw: 23%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 66 | 13 | 53 | 47 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 36 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 32 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 30 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 29 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 26 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 23 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 18 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 17 |
| 14 | Hamburg | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 16 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 15 |
| 16 | Mainz | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 | St Pauli | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 12 |
Recent Trends
Augsburg
- Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 0)
Freiburg
- Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 2)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Augsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.24
# Clean Sheets:
2
Freiburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.06
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.25
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
Freiburg is favored to win the upcoming clash against Augsburg with a 44.0% probability of victory. Augsburg, currently positioned 15th in the Bundesliga, will face the 8th-placed Freiburg, a team that has shown more consistency this season. The game also has a notable 54.0% probability of yielding over 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially high-scoring match.
Match Analysis
Augsburg enters this match with a challenging recent performance, managing only two draws and a loss in their last three games. They last drew 1-1 against Union Berlin at home and suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat away to M'gladbach. Despite these struggles, they managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five matches, a testament to their defensive solidity. However, their average of 0.8 goals per game in the last five fixtures reflects a need for improvement in the attacking phase.
Freiburg, on the other hand, has displayed a mixed bag of performances, with two wins and one loss in their last three encounters. They secured a narrow victory against Hamburg and a thrilling 4-3 away win over Wolfsburg. Despite conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last five matches, Freiburg's offensive capabilities with an average of 1.4 goals per game could pose a challenge for Augsburg's defense. Their lack of clean sheets, however, suggests vulnerabilities that Augsburg might exploit.
Final Prediction
Freiburg's superior league position and recent victories give them an edge going into this encounter. Their attacking prowess, despite defensive lapses, is a key factor that could tilt the balance in their favor. Watch for Freiburg's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as their offensive momentum might be the decisive factor in this matchup.