Bundesliga 2025-2026: Augsburg vs Leverkusen Prediction
Augsburg
Home Team
6%
VS
Leverkusen
Away Team
88%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5:
51%
Under 2.5:
49%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 9 | 35 | 34 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 23 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 23 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 8 |
| 17 | St Pauli | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
| 18 | Mainz | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 6 |
Recent Trends
Augsburg
- Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 6)
Leverkusen
- Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 6 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Augsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.73
# Clean Sheets:
1
Leverkusen
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.83
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Leverkusen heavily favors the visitors, with an 88.0% probability of a Leverkusen victory. Augsburg, positioned 14th in the league, will face a daunting challenge against 4th-placed Leverkusen. Additionally, the match is expected to be high-scoring, with a 51.0% probability of over 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Augsburg's recent form has been a rollercoaster, with a solitary win against Hamburg sandwiched between losses to Hoffenheim and Stuttgart. Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game over the last five matches. Despite a slight uptick in expected goals scored (1.17), their defense remains a concern with an expected goals against of 1.73. Augsburg has managed just one clean sheet in their last five matches, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that Leverkusen will look to exploit.
Leverkusen, on the other hand, comes into this fixture with a stronger run of form. They have won two of their last three matches, including a commanding 6-0 victory over Heidenheim. Their attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 2.4 goals scored in recent games and a high expected goals figure of 1.95. Defensively, while they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals, they have also achieved two clean sheets, indicating the potential for defensive resilience against an Augsburg side struggling for consistency.
Final Prediction
Leverkusen's superior attacking capabilities and recent performances give them a decisive edge against Augsburg. The key factor to watch in this match will be Leverkusen's ability to capitalize on Augsburg's defensive frailties, potentially leading to a high-scoring affair. Fans should keep an eye on the attacking dynamics, as Leverkusen aims to solidify their position in the top four.