Bundesliga 2025-2026: Bayern Munich vs Freiburg Prediction

Bayern Munich

Home Team
97%
VS

Freiburg

Away Team
1%
Draw: 2%
Over 2.5: 63%
Under 2.5: 37%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 10 9 1 0 35 6 29 28
2 RB Leipzig 10 7 1 2 20 13 7 22
3 Dortmund 10 6 3 1 16 7 9 21
4 Stuttgart 10 7 0 3 17 12 5 21
5 Leverkusen 10 6 2 2 24 14 10 20
6 Hoffenheim 10 6 1 3 21 16 5 19
7 Ein Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 23 19 4 17
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 15 18 -3 15
9 FC Koln 10 4 2 4 17 15 2 14
10 Freiburg 10 3 4 3 13 14 -1 13
11 Union Berlin 10 3 3 4 13 17 -4 12
12 M'gladbach 10 2 3 5 13 19 -6 9
13 Hamburg 10 2 3 5 9 16 -7 9
14 Wolfsburg 10 2 2 6 12 18 -6 8
15 Augsburg 10 2 1 7 14 24 -10 7
16 St Pauli 10 2 1 7 9 20 -11 7
17 Mainz 10 1 2 7 10 18 -8 5
18 Heidenheim 10 1 2 7 8 23 -15 5

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bayern Munich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.63
# Clean Sheets: 3

Freiburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.48
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Bayern Munich is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Freiburg, with a whopping 97% probability of securing a victory. The game is expected to have more than 2.5 goals, with a 63% likelihood of this outcome. Bayern Munich currently dominates the Bundesliga standings in 1st place, while Freiburg holds the 10th position.

Match Analysis

Bayern Munich has been in scintillating form, boasting an impressive record over their last three matches. They achieved commanding victories against Leverkusen and M'gladbach, both with clean sheets, and managed a hard-fought draw against Union Berlin. Their offensive prowess is evident, scoring a remarkable average of 4 goals per game in their last five outings, while their defense has been rock-solid, conceding just 0.2 goals per game. Freiburg's recent performances have been mixed. They secured a narrow win against St Pauli and played out a goalless draw with Union Berlin, but struggled against Leverkusen, failing to score. On average, Freiburg has scored 0.8 goals and conceded 1.2 goals per game over their last five matches. Their lower expected goals and higher expected goals conceded, compared to Bayern, suggest potential vulnerabilities in both attack and defense.

Final Prediction

Bayern Munich's superior form and attacking firepower give them a distinct edge over Freiburg. Their ability to score freely, combined with a formidable defense, makes them the clear favorites. A key factor to watch will be Bayern's offensive execution, as their high goal-scoring potential could determine the margin of victory.