Bundesliga 2025-2026: Bayern Munich vs Leverkusen Prediction
Bayern Munich
Home Team
92%
VS
Leverkusen
Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5:
68%
Under 2.5:
32%
Goal:
65%
No Goal:
35%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 26 | 24 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Ein Frankfurt | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Mainz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Bayern Munich
- Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 4 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 4 - 1)
Leverkusen
- Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 4 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bayern Munich
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.70
# Clean Sheets:
3
Leverkusen
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.59
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.59
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Bayern Munich and Leverkusen is heavily tilted in favor of the home side. With a staggering 92.0% probability of winning, Bayern Munich stands as the clear favorite. The match is also predicted to have over 2.5 goals with a 68.0% probability. Bayern Munich currently sits atop the Bundesliga table with a perfect record, while Leverkusen is in 5th place, showcasing a solid start to the season.
Match Analysis
Bayern Munich's recent performances have been nothing short of dominant. They have secured three consecutive victories, most notably a 3-0 triumph against M'gladbach and a 3-0 win away at Ein Frankfurt. This incredible form is supported by their average of 4.25 goals scored per game over the last five fixtures, while their defense has been almost impenetrable, conceding just 0.25 goals on average. Their ability to keep clean sheets in three of these matches underscores their defensive strength.
Leverkusen, on the other hand, has also been in good form, with three straight wins, including a 2-0 victory over Freiburg and a thrilling 4-3 win against Mainz. They have scored an average of 3.0 goals per game in their last five matches, though their defense has been less robust, conceding an average of 2.33 goals. Their recent clean sheets indicate potential defensive improvements, but they will face a stern test against Bayern's potent attack.
Final Prediction
Bayern Munich's formidable attack and solid defense give them a significant edge over Leverkusen. Their consistent goal-scoring ability, coupled with a strong defensive record, makes them the favorites to take all three points. A key factor to watch will be Bayern's ability to exploit Leverkusen's defensive vulnerabilities, which could lead to a high-scoring affair.