Bundesliga 2025-2026: Bayern Munich vs St Pauli Prediction
Bayern Munich
Home Team
99%
VS
St Pauli
Away Team
0%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5:
67%
Under 2.5:
33%
Goal:
50%
No Goal:
50%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 8 | 33 | 31 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Ein Frankfurt | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Hamburg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Bayern Munich
- Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 6 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 1)
St Pauli
- Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Bayern Munich
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.63
# Clean Sheets:
2
St Pauli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.00
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.88
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and St Pauli is heavily tipped in favor of the home side, with a staggering 99.0% probability of a Bayern victory. The forecast also suggests a high likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals in the match, with a 67.0% probability. Bayern Munich currently sits at the top of the league, whereas St Pauli is struggling in the 16th position, facing the threat of relegation.
Match Analysis
Bayern Munich's recent performances highlight their dominance in the league. With victories over Freiburg and Leverkusen and a draw against Union Berlin, their form is impressive. They have scored an average of 4.0 goals in their last five games while maintaining a strong defense, conceding only an average of 0.6 goals. Their offensive prowess is supported by an expected goals figure of 3.12, indicating consistent attacking threats.
In stark contrast, St Pauli has faced a challenging run, suffering losses in their last three outings against Union Berlin, Freiburg, and M'gladbach. They have struggled in front of goal, scoring just 0.6 goals per game on average in their last five matches. Defensively, they have conceded 1.4 goals per game, with an expected goals conceded metric of 1.882, highlighting vulnerabilities that Bayern is likely to exploit.
Final Prediction
Bayern Munich's commanding position in the league and their recent form give them a significant edge over St Pauli. The combination of their potent attack and resilient defense makes them formidable opponents, especially at home. Fans should keep an eye on Bayern's offensive strategies, as their ability to score goals could be the decisive factor in this matchup.