Bundesliga 2025-2026: Dortmund vs Stuttgart Prediction
Dortmund
Home Team
52%
VS
Stuttgart
Away Team
25%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5:
54%
Under 2.5:
46%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 6 | 29 | 28 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Koln | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 14 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 7 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Dortmund
- Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 1)
Stuttgart
- Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Dortmund
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.46
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
0.95
# Clean Sheets:
2
Stuttgart
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.60
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.08
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Dortmund and Stuttgart is poised to be an engaging encounter, with Dortmund predicted to claim victory with a 52% probability. The chances of Stuttgart winning stand at 25%, while a draw is pegged at 24%. Both teams are currently tied on points in the Bundesliga standings, with Dortmund sitting in third place and Stuttgart right behind in fourth. The game is expected to be high-scoring, with a 54% chance of witnessing over 2.5 goals.
Match Analysis
Dortmund has shown resilience and tactical discipline in their recent matches, securing two wins and a draw. They demonstrated a solid defensive setup, particularly evident in their clean-sheet victories over Augsburg and FC Koln. Dortmund's average of 1.5 goals per game in the last five matches, alongside their ability to concede only 0.25 goals on average, highlights their balanced approach.
On the other hand, Stuttgart has been somewhat inconsistent. While they managed convincing victories against Augsburg and Mainz, they succumbed to RB Leipzig, conceding three goals. Stuttgart's firepower is evident, with an average scoring rate of 1.6 goals per game, slightly higher than Dortmund's. However, their defense has been more porous, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in the last five games. Their expected goals metrics suggest they are creating more opportunities than Dortmund but are also more prone to defensive lapses.
Final Prediction
Dortmund's robust defensive record gives them a slight edge over Stuttgart. Their ability to keep clean sheets and limit opponents' scoring chances could prove decisive. Fans should keep an eye on how Stuttgart's attacking prowess matches up against Dortmund's steadfast defense, as this could be the key factor determining the outcome of this thrilling Bundesliga encounter.