Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hamburg vs Stuttgart Prediction
Hamburg
Home Team
16%
VS
Stuttgart
Away Team
70%
Draw: 14%
Over 2.5:
56%
Under 2.5:
44%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 8 | 33 | 31 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Leverkusen | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Ein Frankfurt | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Union Berlin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Koln | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | M'gladbach | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Hamburg | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | St Pauli | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Mainz | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Hamburg
- Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 4)
- 4th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 2)
Stuttgart
- Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Hamburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.44
# Clean Sheets:
0
Stuttgart
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.61
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.61
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Hamburg and Stuttgart presents a clear favorite, with Stuttgart holding a 70.0% probability of securing victory, compared to Hamburg's 16.0% chance. The likelihood of a draw stands at 14.0%. The match is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 56.0% probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Stuttgart occupies a strong position in the Bundesliga standings at 5th place, while Hamburg is struggling in 14th place.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Hamburg has managed only a single draw and two losses in their last three games. Their recent encounters include a narrow 1-0 loss to Augsburg, a 1-1 draw against Dortmund, and a disappointing 4-1 defeat at the hands of FC Koln. Hamburg has been consistently lacking in defense, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. Their attack has also been underwhelming, averaging just 1.4 goals per game with no clean sheets to their name.
Conversely, Stuttgart has showcased more resilience in their recent fixtures. They achieved a thrilling 3-3 draw with Dortmund and secured a 3-2 win over Augsburg before falling to a 3-1 defeat against RB Leipzig. Stuttgart's offense has been more potent, averaging 2.0 goals per game. However, their defense mirrors their attack, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game, albeit they have managed one clean sheet in their last five outings.
Final Prediction
Stuttgart's offensive prowess, with an average of 2.0 goals scored per match, gives them a clear edge over Hamburg. Their ability to convert opportunities into goals could be crucial in this encounter. Fans should keep an eye on Stuttgart's attacking strategies, which could be decisive in breaking down Hamburg's vulnerable defense. With Hamburg struggling to secure defensive solidity, Stuttgart's attacking threats are likely to be the key factor in determining the outcome of this game.