Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig Prediction
Hoffenheim
Home Team
41%
VS
RB Leipzig
Away Team
33%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
61%
Under 2.5:
39%
Goal:
60%
No Goal:
40%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 4 | 29 | 27 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Ein Frankfurt | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 7 |
| 16 | M'gladbach | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Mainz | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
Recent Trends
Hoffenheim
- Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
RB Leipzig
- Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Augsburg (Goals: 6 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Hamburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Hoffenheim
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.54
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.69
# Clean Sheets:
1
RB Leipzig
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.60
# Clean Sheets:
2
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig is set to be an intriguing encounter, with Hoffenheim slightly favored to secure victory with a 41% probability. Meanwhile, RB Leipzig has a 33% chance of taking home the points, while a draw stands at 27%. Hoffenheim currently sits in 6th position in the Bundesliga, while Leipzig is in 2nd, making this a critical match for both teams looking to solidify their standing.
Match Analysis
Both teams come into this fixture with strong performances in their recent matches. Hoffenheim has been on a winning streak, claiming victories in their last three games against Wolfsburg, Heidenheim, and St Pauli, scoring a consistent three goals in each match. This offensive prowess will be crucial as they face a formidable opponent in Leipzig. On the other hand, RB Leipzig has also shown impressive form, winning their last three matches, including a 6-0 thrashing of Augsburg. Their ability to score freely will be a key factor going into this match.
In terms of advanced metrics, Hoffenheim has an average of 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 goals conceded over their last five games, along with one clean sheet. Their expected goals metrics are slightly higher, indicating potential for more goals. In contrast, RB Leipzig averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded with two clean sheets, suggesting a slightly tighter defense. These statistics suggest that both teams have the capacity to score, aligning with the prediction of over 2.5 goals in this match.
Final Prediction
Hoffenheim's recent scoring consistency and home advantage give them a slight edge in this encounter. However, RB Leipzig's formidable attacking threats and recent defensive performance make them a dangerous opponent. A key factor to watch will be how Hoffenheim's defense copes with Leipzig's attacking firepower. With both teams in strong form, this match promises to be an exciting and high-scoring encounter.