Bundesliga 2025-2026: M'gladbach vs Wolfsburg Prediction
M'gladbach
Home Team
71%
VS
Wolfsburg
Away Team
13%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5:
61%
Under 2.5:
39%
Goal:
57%
No Goal:
43%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 49 | 9 | 40 | 37 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Dortmund | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | Stuttgart | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 | Ein Frankfurt | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 21 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | M'gladbach | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 16 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 11 |
| 17 | St Pauli | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
| 18 | Mainz | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
Recent Trends
M'gladbach
- Last Match: vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Heidenheim (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs FC Koln (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs St Pauli (Goals: 4 - 0)
Wolfsburg
- Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 2 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
M'gladbach
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.08
# Clean Sheets:
4
Wolfsburg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.75
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between M'gladbach and Wolfsburg is tipped in favor of the home side, with a 71.0% probability of M'gladbach securing a victory. The likelihood of the match featuring more than 2.5 goals stands at 61.0%, suggesting an engaging encounter. M'gladbach currently sits in 10th place in the Bundesliga, while Wolfsburg languishes in 15th, fighting to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
Both teams have shown mixed forms in their recent outings. M'gladbach has been on a promising run, securing two wins and a draw in their last three fixtures. They have managed to keep clean sheets in all three games, including a notable goalless draw against RB Leipzig and a decisive 3-0 victory away at Heidenheim. This defensive solidity is further supported by their four clean sheets in the last five matches. On the other hand, Wolfsburg's recent form reveals one win, one draw, and one loss. Their 3-1 victory against Union Berlin at home was a highlight, but they stumbled against Leverkusen with a 3-1 defeat.
Regarding advanced metrics, M'gladbach's average goals scored and conceded over the past five games are 1.4 and 2.0, respectively. Their expected goals stats, however, indicate room for improvement in attack and defense. Wolfsburg's recent performances have been less impressive, scoring an average of just 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.4. Their inability to maintain clean sheets could pose significant challenges against a M'gladbach side that is finding its rhythm.
Final Prediction
M'gladbach appears to have the upper hand due to their recent defensive resilience and home advantage. Their ability to limit opponents' scoring opportunities could be a decisive factor against a Wolfsburg team struggling for consistency. A key aspect of this match will be M'gladbach’s capacity to capitalize on their defensive strengths while exploiting Wolfsburg's vulnerabilities at the back.