Bundesliga 2025-2026: St Pauli vs M'gladbach Prediction
St Pauli
Home Team
62%
VS
M'gladbach
Away Team
19%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5:
58%
Under 2.5:
42%
Goal:
54%
No Goal:
46%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 4 | 26 | 24 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Ein Frankfurt | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Mainz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 3 |
Recent Trends
St Pauli
- Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 2)
M'gladbach
- Last Match: vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 4 - 6)
- 5th Last Match: vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
St Pauli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.27
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.53
# Clean Sheets:
0
M'gladbach
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.47
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between St Pauli and M'gladbach is predicted to end in favor of the home side, with a 62.0% probability of St Pauli securing the win. There is a 58.0% chance that the game will see over 2.5 goals scored. Currently, St Pauli sits in 14th place in the Bundesliga standings, while M'gladbach languishes at the bottom in 18th place.
Match Analysis
In their recent performances, St Pauli has struggled to find form, suffering three consecutive losses without scoring a single goal. Their defeats against Ein Frankfurt, Hoffenheim, and Werder Bremen highlight their current scoring woes and defensive vulnerabilities, with an average of 2.25 goals conceded per match in their last five outings. Despite this, their expected goals scored average of 1.275 suggests potential improvement if they can capitalize on opportunities.
M'gladbach, on the other hand, has also been on a challenging run, with two losses and a draw in their last three games. They managed a goalless draw against Freiburg, but their defensive issues are highlighted by an average of 1.67 goals conceded per match in their last five games. Offensively, M'gladbach has struggled, scoring an average of just 0.67 goals per game, though their expected goals metric of 1.18 indicates a potential for more.
Final Prediction
St Pauli appears to have an edge heading into this fixture, primarily due to M'gladbach's current position as the bottom team in the league and their inability to secure a win this season. The critical factor to watch during this match will be whether St Pauli can break their goal-scoring drought, as their expected goals suggest a capability that could turn the tide in their favor if realized on the pitch.