Bundesliga 2025-2026: Union Berlin vs Dortmund Prediction

Union Berlin

Home Team
11%
VS

Dortmund

Away Team
77%
Draw: 11%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 18 16 2 0 71 14 57 50
2 Dortmund 18 11 6 1 35 17 18 39
3 Hoffenheim 17 10 3 4 35 21 14 33
4 Stuttgart 18 10 3 5 33 26 7 33
5 RB Leipzig 17 10 2 5 33 24 9 32
6 Leverkusen 17 9 2 6 34 25 9 29
7 Ein Frankfurt 18 7 6 5 38 39 -1 27
8 Freiburg 18 6 6 6 29 31 -2 24
9 Union Berlin 18 6 6 6 24 27 -3 24
10 FC Koln 18 5 5 8 27 30 -3 20
11 M'gladbach 18 5 5 8 23 29 -6 20
12 Wolfsburg 18 5 4 9 27 38 -11 19
13 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 21 34 -13 18
14 Hamburg 17 4 5 8 17 27 -10 17
15 Augsburg 18 4 4 10 20 35 -15 16
16 Heidenheim 18 3 4 11 17 39 -22 13
17 Mainz 18 2 6 10 18 31 -13 12
18 St Pauli 17 3 3 11 16 31 -15 12

Recent Trends

Union Berlin ⚪ ⚪ ⚪ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Stuttgart (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 3 - 1)

Dortmund ✅ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ✅ vs St Pauli (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Freiburg (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.02
# Clean Sheets: 1

Dortmund

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.39
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.05
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Union Berlin and Dortmund promises to be an intriguing encounter in the Bundesliga. With Dortmund sitting comfortably in 2nd place, they are the clear favorites with a 77.0% probability of winning. In contrast, Union Berlin, positioned 9th in the league, has only an 11.0% chance of claiming victory. The match is predicted to see fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting a tightly contested affair.

Match Analysis

Union Berlin has faced a string of draws in their last three matches, sharing points against Stuttgart, Augsburg, and Mainz. Despite these results, they have shown consistency in finding the back of the net, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game over the last five matches. However, their defense remains a concern, having conceded an average of 1.4 goals in the same period. Their expected goals data indicates they create decent chances, but their defense might struggle against a potent Dortmund attack. Dortmund, on the other hand, comes into this match with a more impressive recent form, winning two of their last three games, including a solid victory over Werder Bremen. Their scoring prowess is matched by their defensive resilience, having kept two clean sheets in their last five matches. With an average of 1.6 goals scored per game and a slightly better defensive record than Union Berlin, Dortmund seems poised to capitalize on any defensive lapses from their opponents.

Final Prediction

Dortmund's superior form and attacking capabilities give them a clear edge over Union Berlin in this encounter. Their ability to both score and defend effectively could prove decisive. Football fans should keep an eye on Dortmund's attacking players, who could be pivotal in breaking down Union Berlin's defense and securing the win.